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Qualcomm forecasts weak quarterly profit, expects Apple revenue drop to accelerate

Created at 29 Jul · 8:04 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Qualcomm forecast fourth-quarter profit and revenue below Wall Street estimates, citing supply constraints and rising costs. The company expects revenue from Apple products to decline faster than previously anticipated, impacting its share of components for the next iPhone.

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Key Numbers

$2.05 - $2.25Qualcomm Q4 adjusted profit per share forecast
$2.36Analysts' average Q4 profit estimate
$9.7B - $10.5BQualcomm Q4 revenue forecast
$10.02BAnalysts' Q4 revenue estimate
4%Qualcomm's Q3 revenue decrease year-over-year
$9.95BQualcomm's Q3 revenue
$9.67BAnalysts' Q3 revenue estimate
20%Qualcomm's estimated share of components for next iPhone

Who's Involved

Qualcomm
Technology company forecasting weak quarterly profit
Cristiano Amon
CEO of Qualcomm, discussing cost increases and pricing strategies
Apple
Customer whose product revenue is expected to decline faster
Reuters
News agency reporting on Qualcomm's forecast
LSEG
Data provider for analyst estimates
Counterpoint Research
Firm reporting on smartphone vendor shipment declines

↳ Why This Matters

Qualcomm's forecast and commentary provide insight into the health of the smartphone market and the broader consumer electronics sector, highlighting challenges related to supply chain costs and demand shifts, particularly impacting its relationship with key customer Apple.

Key facts

  • Qualcomm forecasts Q4 profit between $2.05 and $2.25 per share, below analysts' average estimate of $2.36.
  • The company forecasts Q4 revenue between $9.7 billion and $10.5 billion, compared with estimates of $10.02 billion.
  • Qualcomm expects revenue from Apple products to decline faster than previously estimated.
  • The company plans to increase prices starting September 1 to address rising costs and restore margins.
  • Qualcomm's third-quarter revenue was $9.95 billion, a 4% decrease from the previous year, but exceeded estimates.

Qualcomm forecast fourth-quarter profit and revenue below Wall Street expectations, signaling headwinds from supply constraints and rising costs across its business. The company anticipates a faster decline in revenue from Apple products, as supply limitations reduce its share of components for the upcoming iPhone launch to below 20%. CEO Cristiano Amon stated that these supply issues are the primary reason for the reduced Apple share.

To counter increasing costs, Qualcomm plans to implement price hikes starting September 1, aiming to return its margins to historical levels. Amon indicated that the company will negotiate these price adjustments with individual customers, acknowledging a temporary disconnect between costs and pricing that impacts gross margins.

Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, Qualcomm expects the majority of its chip sales to originate from sectors beyond smartphones, with Amon noting that the data center segment is replacing Apple as a key growth area. The company reiterated that revenue from Chinese phone makers has likely bottomed out in the third quarter as inventory levels normalize.

In the third quarter, Qualcomm's revenue decreased by 4% year-over-year to $9.95 billion, surpassing analysts' estimates of $9.67 billion. However, adjusted profit came in at $2.21 per share, slightly below the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share. The company's performance is closely watched as an indicator of broader consumer electronics demand.

Frequently asked questions

Qualcomm expects adjusted profit to be between $2.05 and $2.25 per share in the fourth quarter, which is below analysts' average estimate of $2.36.

Supply constraints are reducing Qualcomm's share of components for the next iPhone launch to well below its earlier estimate of 20%.

Qualcomm plans to raise prices starting September 1 in an effort to return its margins to historical levels by passing through significant cost increases.

Qualcomm's third-quarter revenue fell 4% to $9.95 billion, beating estimates of $9.67 billion, while adjusted profit was $2.21 per share, compared with estimates of $2.23.

What Happens Next

01Qualcomm will implement price increases starting September 1.
02The company aims for the majority of chip sales to come from non-smartphone categories by fiscal 2027.

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How It Developed

Qualcomm forecast fourth-quarter profit below Wall Street estimates.
The company expects revenue from Apple products to decline faster than anticipated.
Qualcomm plans to raise prices starting September 1 to restore margins.
CEO Cristiano Amon stated that availability of supply is the reason for the reduced Apple share.
Qualcomm expects the majority of its chip sales to come from categories other than smartphones by fiscal 2027.
Revenue from Chinese phone makers is expected to have bottomed out in the third quarter.
Qualcomm's third-quarter revenue fell 4% to $9.95 billion, beating estimates.

Sources

T1
Qualcomm forecasts weak quarterly profit, expects Apple revenue drop to accelerateReuters

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