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Oppenheimer downgrades major US investment banks, favors alternative asset managers

Created at 30 Jun · 12:50 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Oppenheimer downgraded Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to "underperform," citing limited upside despite a favorable environment. The brokerage advised investors to sell large-cap investment banks and buy alternative asset managers like Ares Management, Blackstone, and KKR, whose shares have recently declined.

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Key Numbers

1.36%Morgan Stanley shares down before the bell
0.4%Goldman Sachs shares fell before the bell
0.5%Citigroup and Bank of America shares down before the bell
12-18 monthspotential duration of expansionary cycle

Who's Involved

Oppenheimer
Brokerage that issued downgrades and recommendations
Goldman Sachs
Major US investment bank downgraded to "underperform"
Morgan Stanley
Major US investment bank downgraded to "underperform"
Citigroup
US investment bank downgraded to "perform"
Bank of America
US investment bank downgraded to "perform"
US Bancorp
Commercial bank recommended by Oppenheimer
PNC Financial Services
Commercial bank recommended by Oppenheimer
Ares Management
Alternative asset manager recommended by Oppenheimer
Blackstone
Alternative asset manager recommended by Oppenheimer
KKR
Alternative asset manager recommended by Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer downgrades major US investment banks, favors alternative asset managers

↳ Why This Matters

Oppenheimer's rare downgrade of major investment banks signals a potential shift in investor sentiment and strategy, moving away from traditional large-cap financial institutions towards alternative asset managers, which could impact capital flows and valuations across the financial sector.

Key facts

  • Oppenheimer downgraded Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to "underperform" from "perform."
  • Citigroup and Bank of America were downgraded to "perform" from "outperform."
  • The brokerage advised investors to sell large-cap investment banks and focus on alternative asset managers.
  • Recommended alternative asset managers include Ares Management, Blackstone, and KKR.
  • Oppenheimer cited limited room for further gains in investment bank valuations and the later stage of their expansionary cycle.

Brokerage Oppenheimer has made significant adjustments to its recommendations for major U.S. investment banks, including downgrading Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to "underperform" from "perform." The firm also cut Citigroup and Bank of America to "perform" from "outperform." Oppenheimer cited concerns that current valuations for these large-cap banks offer limited room for further gains, suggesting they are in the later stages of an expansionary cycle.

Instead of large-cap investment banks, Oppenheimer recommended investors shift their focus to alternative asset managers such as Ares Management, Blackstone, and KKR. This recommendation comes as shares of alternative asset managers have lagged this year due to investor wariness regarding private-credit exposure and potential fund redemptions, concerns that many analysts believe are overblown.

Oppenheimer suggested that investors maintain their financial exposure by re-deploying funds raised from investment banks into these alternative asset managers, which it believes are in a relatively early phase of expansion. The firm noted that while the expansionary cycle for investment banks could continue for some time, it prefers to act proactively rather than wait for warning signs to emerge.

Frequently asked questions

Oppenheimer downgraded Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to "underperform," and Citigroup and Bank of America to "perform."

The brokerage cited current valuations that leave limited room for further gains and the belief that these banks are in the later part of an expansionary cycle.

Oppenheimer recommended Ares Management, Blackstone, and KKR.

Oppenheimer believes these firms are in a relatively early phase of expansion, and concerns about their private-credit exposure are potentially overdone.

What Happens Next

01Investors will monitor the performance of downgraded investment banks and recommended alternative asset managers.
02Further analysis from other brokerages on the sector may follow.

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How It Developed

Oppenheimer downgraded Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to "underperform."
The brokerage also cut Citigroup and Bank of America to "perform."
Oppenheimer recommended investors sell large-cap investment banks and buy alternative asset managers.
Shares of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs fell in premarket trading.
Shares of Citigroup and Bank of America also declined in premarket trading.

Sources

T1
Oppenheimer makes rare cuts to top US investment banks, backs alternative asset managersReuters

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