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Nippon Steel raises profit forecast 32% on U.S. Steel strength

Created at 4 Aug · 9:35 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Japan's Nippon Steel raised its full-year net profit forecast by 32% to 290 billion yen ($1.84 billion), driven by stronger earnings at its U.S. Steel unit amid a firmer U.S. market. The company also increased its profit outlook for U.S. Steel and its hot-rolled coil market assumption.

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Key Numbers

290 billion yenNippon Steel full-year net profit forecast
$1.84 billionNippon Steel full-year net profit forecast
32%Nippon Steel profit forecast increase
75.30 billion yenNippon Steel Q1 net profit
195.83 billion yenNippon Steel year-ago Q1 net loss
180 billion yenU.S. Steel business profit forecast
100 billion yenPrevious U.S. Steel business profit forecast
$1,000-$1,100U.S. hot-rolled coil market assumption
$100U.S. hot-rolled coil market assumption increase
25 billion yenMiddle East conflict impact on Q1 earnings
60 billion yenFull-year negative impact from Middle East conflict

Who's Involved

Nippon Steel
Japan's top steelmaker
Takahiko Iwai
Nippon Steel Chief Financial Officer
U.S. Steel
Unit driving Nippon Steel's group earnings
Nippon Steel raises profit forecast 32% on U.S. Steel strength

↳ Why This Matters

The upward revision in Nippon Steel's profit forecast highlights the resilience and strength of the U.S. steel market and the successful integration of U.S. Steel, signaling positive momentum for the Japanese steelmaker amidst global economic uncertainties and geopolitical challenges.

Key facts

  • Nippon Steel raised its full-year net profit forecast to 290 billion yen ($1.84 billion).
  • The company reported a first-quarter net profit of 75.30 billion yen.
  • Nippon Steel's U.S. Steel unit drove group earnings.
  • The forecast for U.S. Steel's business profit was raised to 180 billion yen or more for FY2027.
  • The U.S. hot-rolled coil market assumption was raised to $1,000-$1,100 per short ton.

Japan's top steelmaker, Nippon Steel, has significantly boosted its full-year net profit forecast by 32% to 290 billion yen ($1.84 billion). This upward revision is primarily attributed to stronger earnings from its U.S. Steel unit, benefiting from a firmer U.S. steel market and operational efficiencies implemented after the acquisition.

For the first quarter ended June, Nippon Steel reported a net profit of 75.30 billion yen, a substantial recovery from a 195.83 billion yen net loss a year earlier, which was impacted by a one-off loss from the sale of its stake in the AM/NS Calvert joint venture.

Chief Financial Officer Takahiko Iwai stated that U.S. Steel's performance was the main driver of the group's earnings. The company also raised its underlying business profit forecast for U.S. Steel for the fiscal year ending March 2027 to 180 billion yen or more, up from a previous estimate of 100 billion yen or more. Additionally, Nippon Steel increased its full-year assumption for the U.S. hot-rolled coil market prices to $1,000-$1,100 per short ton, reflecting recent price increases.

Further contributing to the revised forecast are expected increases in inventory valuation gains, fueled by the weak yen against the U.S. dollar and rising raw material costs. However, the Middle East conflict is projected to negatively impact full-year earnings by 60 billion yen, following a 25 billion yen reduction in the first quarter.

With domestic operations showing stagnant profits, Nippon Steel plans to pass on higher raw material and fuel costs to customers. Iwai noted the Japanese government's imposition of anti-dumping measures, expressing hope that these will help curb cheap steel imports and potentially strengthen domestic prices.

Frequently asked questions

Nippon Steel's new full-year net profit forecast is 290 billion yen ($1.84 billion).

Stronger earnings at its U.S. Steel unit, a firmer U.S. steel market, and operational efficiencies are driving Nippon Steel's improved earnings.

Nippon Steel reported a net profit of 75.30 billion yen for the April-June first quarter.

The Middle East conflict is expected to have a 60 billion yen negative impact on Nippon Steel's full-year earnings.

What Happens Next

01Nippon Steel aims to pass on higher raw material and fuel costs to customers.
02The company anticipates anti-dumping measures to help curb imports of cheap steel in Japan.

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How It Developed

Nippon Steel posted a 75.30 billion yen net profit for the April-June first quarter.
Nippon Steel raised its full-year net profit forecast by 32% to 290 billion yen ($1.84 billion).
The company raised its underlying business profit forecast for U.S. Steel to 180 billion yen or more for the fiscal year to March 2027.
Nippon Steel increased its full-year assumption for the U.S. hot-rolled coil market by $100 to $1,000-$1,100 per short ton.
An expected increase in inventory valuation gains, driven by the weak yen and rising raw material costs, contributed to the upward revision.

Sources

T1
Nippon Steel raises FY2026 profit forecast on strong U.S. Steel earningsReuters

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