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Michael Burry Bets Against Tesla, Nvidia, Caterpillar, and Chip Stocks

Created at 1 Jul · 1:50 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Michael Burry, known for his role in 'The Big Short,' has revealed new short positions against Tesla, Caterpillar, Nvidia, Applied Materials, and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX). He expressed concerns about overvaluation in the chip sector and the sustainability of recent stock rallies.

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Key Numbers

March 2027expiration for SOXX put options
low-to-mid $400sstrike prices for SOXX put options
$160SOXX low in April of previous year
$640current SOXX price
86%Caterpillar stock jump in first half of this year
167%Caterpillar stock jump over past 12 months
22%Tesla shares rally from April low
$420Tesla share price

Who's Involved

Michael Burry
Investor known for 'The Big Short' and recent short positions
iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)
ETF holding chip stocks, subject of Burry's bearish bet
Tesla
Automaker, one of Burry's short targets
Nvidia
Chipmaker, one of Burry's short targets
Caterpillar
Construction and mining equipment maker, one of Burry's short targets
Applied Materials
Semiconductor equipment supplier, one of Burry's short targets
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
Index tracked by SOXX, cited as overvalued
Samsung
Chipmaker, mentioned in context of spending announcements
SK Hynix
Chipmaker, mentioned in context of spending announcements
Michael Burry Bets Against Tesla, Nvidia, Caterpillar, and Chip Stocks

↳ Why This Matters

Michael Burry's bearish positions signal a potential contrarian view on highly valued tech and semiconductor stocks, suggesting a belief that the current market rally, particularly in AI-related sectors, may be unsustainable and prone to a significant correction.

Key facts

  • Michael Burry has initiated new short positions against Tesla, Caterpillar, Nvidia, and Applied Materials.
  • He has also adjusted his bearish stance on the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) by purchasing put options with March 2027 expiration.
  • Burry believes the semiconductor index is significantly overvalued, comparing its current state to the dot-com bubble.
  • He expressed concern that major companies are overinvesting in microchips that will soon become obsolete.
  • Burry indicated that his overall short positions have increased significantly.

Michael Burry, the investor famous for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has revealed a series of new bearish bets against major technology and industrial companies, as well as a key semiconductor index. In a Substack post, Burry detailed his updated short positions, which include wagers against Tesla, Caterpillar, Nvidia, and Applied Materials.

Burry also refreshed his bet against the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), now holding put options expiring in March 2027 with strike prices in the low-to-mid $400s. This follows a significant rally in the SOXX, which has roughly quadrupled since April of the previous year and doubled in the last six months, driven by investor enthusiasm for the AI boom.

He highlighted that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which SOXX tracks, is exhibiting extreme valuation levels not seen since the dot-com bubble. Burry expressed particular surprise at shorting Caterpillar, a company he has historically benefited from, stating that its current valuation is not supported by its underlying business. He also noted that Tesla shares have recently rallied to a level he finds amenable for his short position.

Burry suggested that recent spending announcements by chip manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix would further inflate the 'parabolic' semiconductor equipment stocks. He indicated that his overall short positions have grown to a substantial size, positioning him increasingly against the broader market, as he continues to warn of a speculative bubble driven by overinvestment in AI and microchips.

Frequently asked questions

Michael Burry has revealed new short positions against Tesla, Caterpillar, Nvidia, and Applied Materials. He also updated his bearish bet against the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX).

Burry believes the semiconductor index is extremely overvalued, comparing its current state to the dot-com bubble, and warns of overinvestment in chips that could become outdated.

SOXX is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, holding major chip manufacturers and related companies like Micron, AMD, Nvidia, Broadcom, Intel, and Applied Materials.

Yes, Burry has previously shorted Tesla, and he stated he was 'happy it jumped back to this level' (around $420), suggesting it reached a price point he finds suitable for his bearish position.

What Happens Next

01Companies targeted by Burry's shorts may face increased scrutiny from investors.
02Market participants will monitor Burry's future commentary for further insights into his investment strategy.
03The performance of the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and individual tech stocks will be closely watched.

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How It Developed

Michael Burry revealed new short positions against Tesla, Caterpillar, Nvidia, and Applied Materials.
He also updated his bearish bet against the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) with longer-dated, higher-strike put options.
Burry noted that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is the most extended relative to its 200-day moving average since the dot-com bubble.
He expressed surprise at shorting Caterpillar, citing concerns about its valuation relative to its business fundamentals.
Burry stated his overall short positions have grown to a substantial size.

Sources

T1
'Big Short' investor Michael Burry reveals fresh bets against Tesla, Nvidia, and CaterpillarBusiness Insider

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