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Magnificent Seven slump sends momentum stocks to fourth worst performance in 22 years

Created at 29 Jun · 10:10 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The Magnificent Seven stocks have collectively lost around 10% of their market value since late October, impacting momentum stocks. While the S&P 500 has remained flat due to gains in other stocks, the tech giants' performance has raised questions about their sustainability.

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Key Numbers

10%Magnificent Seven market value loss since October peak
$20 trillionSymbolic market value peak for Magnificent Seven
350 basis pointsS&P 500 underperformance vs equal-weight
500%Magnificent Seven value growth since 2019
130%Rest of S&P 500 value growth since 2019
30%Magnificent Seven's share of S&P 500 market cap
14%Magnificent Seven's share of S&P 500 market cap in 2019
23%Microsoft's stock decline in Q1
$13 billionMicrosoft's investment in OpenAI
26%Microsoft Cloud revenue growth
$50 billionMicrosoft Cloud revenue

Who's Involved

Magnificent Seven
Group of tech stocks including Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla
S&P 500
US stock market index
Microsoft
Worst performing Magnificent Seven stock in Q1, with a 23% decline
OpenAI
Developer of ChatGPT, with significant investment from Microsoft
J. Rangvid
Author and commentator on financial markets
Magnificent Seven slump sends momentum stocks to fourth worst performance in 22 years

↳ Why This Matters

The significant decline in the 'Magnificent Seven' stocks, which have previously driven market gains, signals a potential shift in market dynamics and raises questions about the sustainability of growth-oriented tech stocks. This downturn impacts momentum strategies and the broader market's composition.

Key facts

  • The Magnificent Seven stocks have collectively lost about 10% of their market value since late October.
  • The S&P 500 has been flat, with gains in the other 493 stocks offsetting the tech giants' declines.
  • Since 2019, the Magnificent Seven's value has grown 500%, compared to 130% for the rest of the S&P 500.
  • In the first quarter, all Magnificent Seven stocks declined, with Microsoft experiencing the largest drop of 23%.
  • Concerns about AI's impact on software, economic weakness, and geopolitical events contributed to the downturn.

The Magnificent Seven stocks, a group of prominent technology companies, have experienced a significant downturn, losing approximately 10% of their combined market value since hitting a symbolic peak of over $20 trillion in late October. This slump has contributed to momentum stocks experiencing their fourth worst performance in 22 years.

Despite the declines in these tech giants, the broader S&P 500 index has remained relatively flat. This stability is attributed to the strong performance of the remaining 493 stocks within the index, which have collectively offset the losses from the Magnificent Seven, at least until recent geopolitical events.

In the first quarter of the year, all seven companies saw their stock prices fall, with declines ranging from over 6% to 23%. Microsoft was the worst performer, with its stock sinking 23% amid investor concerns about how artificial intelligence might impact the software industry. However, the article notes that Microsoft is also a significant player in the AI space, with substantial investments in OpenAI and strong growth in its cloud computing business.

The article highlights the astonishing growth of the Magnificent Seven since 2019, with their combined market value increasing by 500%, far outpacing the 130% growth of the other S&P 500 stocks. This has led to the Magnificent Seven now comprising about 30% of the S&P 500's total market capitalization, up from 14% in 2019. The author expresses unease about the sustainability of this performance and notes that the Magnificent Seven have been underperforming since November.

Frequently asked questions

The Magnificent Seven are a group of prominent technology companies: Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Apple, Meta (Facebook), Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.

Declines were primarily linked to general market sentiment, including worries about the future of artificial intelligence, signs of weakness in the U.S. economy, and turmoil in Iran.

Microsoft was the worst performer, with its stock sinking 23% during the first three months of the year.

Since 2019, the Magnificent Seven's combined market value has increased by 500%, while the remaining 493 stocks in the S&P 500 have risen by 130%.

What Happens Next

01Investors are assessing whether the Magnificent Seven's decline signals a lasting trend or a temporary correction.
02The market will continue to monitor AI's impact on software companies and the broader tech sector.
03Geopolitical events and economic indicators will likely influence investor appetite for growth stocks.

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How It Developed

The Magnificent Seven stocks have lost approximately 10% of their combined market value since hitting a peak of over $20 trillion in late October.
The S&P 500 has remained flat as the remaining 493 stocks have performed well, offsetting the declines in the tech giants.
The Magnificent Seven stocks have seen their combined market value increase by 500% since 2019, significantly outperforming the rest of the S&P 500.
In the first quarter, all Magnificent Seven stocks experienced declines, ranging from 6% to 23%, with Microsoft being the worst performer.
Market sentiment, concerns about AI's future impact on software, US economic weakness, and turmoil in Iran contributed to the decline in growth-oriented stocks.

Sources

T1
Magnificent Seven slump sent momentum stocks to their fourth worst performance in 22 years. Here’s what happens 70% of the time.MarketWatch
T2
The Magnificent Seven: Not so magnificent anymore – Rangvid’s Blogblog.rangvid.com
T2
This Stock Was the Worst Performer of the Magnificent Seven in the First Quarter. Is it a Buy Today? | The Motley Foolfool.com

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