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Hedge fund manager Leopold Aschenbrenner apologizes to investors after 67% July loss

Created at 31 Jul · 7:31 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Situational Awareness, an AI-focused hedge fund led by Leopold Aschenbrenner, lost 67% of its value in July due to margin calls, forcing it to sell public equities to Citadel. Despite the loss, the fund remains up 80% year-to-date and retains its stake in Anthropic.

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Key Numbers

67%July net performance drawdown
80%Year-to-date net performance
$45 billionFund size at start of July
less than $1 billionInitial fund size at launch

Who's Involved

Leopold Aschenbrenner
Founder of Situational Awareness hedge fund
Situational Awareness
AI-focused hedge fund
Citadel
Hedge fund that acquired a portion of Situational Awareness's portfolio
Anthropic
AI company in which Situational Awareness retains a stake
Hedge fund manager Leopold Aschenbrenner apologizes to investors after 67% July loss

↳ Why This Matters

The significant losses and forced liquidation highlight the extreme volatility and risks associated with concentrated AI-focused hedge fund strategies, even for those led by young prodigies.

Key facts

  • Situational Awareness hedge fund lost 67% of its value in July.
  • The fund was forced to sell public equities to Citadel due to margin calls.
  • Founder Leopold Aschenbrenner apologized to investors, admitting the fund neared permanent capital impairment.
  • The fund remains up approximately 80% year-to-date and retains its stake in Anthropic.
  • Aschenbrenner plans to implement changes in portfolio management and risk teams.

Leopold Aschenbrenner, founder of the AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness, has apologized to investors following a 67% loss in July. In a letter, Aschenbrenner admitted the fund came "closer to permanent capital impairment than is acceptable." The fund, which had grown to $45 billion from less than $1 billion since its early 2025 launch, was forced to sell the bulk of its public equities to Citadel due to margin calls. Aschenbrenner cited extreme moves in core AI positions, many of which dropped by half or more, and adverse trading dynamics that dried up market liquidity as reasons for the drawdown. To protect investor capital, the fund removed all leverage, closed all shorts, and eliminated reliance on portfolio financing. The fund now manages a fully-paid-for public book, preserving its private positions. Aschenbrenner takes responsibility and vows to implement changes across portfolio management and the risk team for greater resilience. Despite the July losses, the fund is still up approximately 80% year-to-date and has maintained its stake in Anthropic.

Frequently asked questions

The fund experienced a significant drawdown in July due to extreme price movements in its core AI positions, exacerbated by a lack of market liquidity and adverse trading dynamics.

The fund removed all leverage, closed all short positions, and eliminated reliance on portfolio financing by trading a portion of its public portfolio to Citadel.

The fund is still operating as a hybrid public-private fund, managing its public book on a fully-paid-for basis. It remains up approximately 80% year-to-date.

What Happens Next

01Aschenbrenner will focus on implementing changes to portfolio management and risk teams.
02A group call will be scheduled next week to share further details.
03Aschenbrenner is available for 1:1 calls with investors next week.

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How It Developed

Leopold Aschenbrenner apologized to investors after his AI-focused hedge fund sold its public equities to Citadel due to margin calls.
Situational Awareness hedge fund lost 67% of its value in July.
The fund was forced to sell the bulk of its public equities to Citadel due to margin calls.
Aschenbrenner stated the fund came closer to permanent capital impairment than acceptable.
Adverse trading dynamics and drying market liquidity made it difficult to keep the portfolio within risk parameters.
The fund removed all leverage, closed all shorts, and eliminated reliance on portfolio financing.
The fund now manages a fully-paid-for public book with no margin or liquidation risk, preserving its private positions.
Aschenbrenner vows to implement changes in portfolio management and risk teams to increase resilience.

Sources

T1
Inside the Meltdown of a Wunderkind’s A.I. Hedge FundThe New York Times
T1
‘We let you down this month:' Read Leopold Aschenbrenner's letter to investors after his fund’s meltdownBusiness Insider
T2
Why AI investor Leopold Aschenbrenner is selling all stockscnbc.com

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