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Global Stocks Rise on Asian Expansion Data, Fed Rate Hike Hopes Dim

Created at 3 Jul · 4:40 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Global equities are poised for their best week since early May, boosted by signs of expansion in Asian economic activity. U.S. jobs data cooled rate hike expectations, while investors looked past AI setbacks and a celebrity wedding rumor.

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Key Numbers

1.7%MSCI All-Country World Index gain for the week
1.1%MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index rise on Friday
0.3%Pan-region European futures gain
0.5%German DAX futures gain
0.2%FTSE futures gain
0.3%S&P 500 e-mini futures gain
161.125yen per U.S. dollar

Who's Involved

Gregor Stuart Hunter
Author of the 'Morning Bid' market outlook
Mark Zuckerberg
Meta CEO acknowledging AI agent shortcomings
Taylor Swift
Pop megastar, subject of wedding rumors
Travis Kelce
NFL player, subject of wedding rumors

↳ Why This Matters

Positive Asian economic data and diminished expectations of a Fed rate hike are lifting global stock markets, while investors are looking past AI development concerns and focusing on broader economic expansion.

Key facts

  • Global equities are on track for their best week since early May.
  • Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data indicated solid expansion across Asia.
  • Lukewarm U.S. jobs data reduced expectations of an imminent Fed rate hike.
  • Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg acknowledged AI agents have not progressed as quickly as expected.
  • European and U.S. stock futures pointed to a higher open.

Global equities are on track for their strongest week since early May, buoyed by renewed signs of economic expansion in Asia. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from China, Japan, Australia, and Singapore released on Friday indicated solid growth across the region, helping to lift stocks out of mid-week doldrums.

This positive sentiment was reinforced by Thursday's lukewarm U.S. jobs report, which diminished expectations of an imminent interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve. While tech hardware stocks experienced an initial dip, mirroring declines in U.S. chipmakers, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan managed to rise 1.1%, snapping a two-day losing streak, with South Korea's Kospi leading the gains.

Investors appeared to look past setbacks in the artificial intelligence sector, including acknowledgments from Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg that AI agents had not progressed as rapidly as anticipated. In early European trading, pan-region futures were up 0.3%, German DAX futures gained 0.5%, and FTSE futures were 0.2% higher. S&P 500 e-mini futures also showed a 0.3% increase.

The U.S. dollar remained flat against the yen at 161.125 yen, having given up earlier gains. Market liquidity was thinned by a U.S. holiday, and traders remained watchful for potential intervention.

Separately, rumors circulated regarding a potential secret marriage between pop star Taylor Swift and NFL player Travis Kelce.

Frequently asked questions

Renewed signs of expansion in Asian economic activity and a lukewarm U.S. jobs report, which reduced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate hike, are driving the rally.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg acknowledged that AI agents have not progressed as quickly as he had expected.

The U.S. dollar was flat against the yen at 161.125 yen, giving up gains as market liquidity was thinned by a U.S. holiday.

What Happens Next

01Key economic data releases include France's Industrial Output and S&P Services PMI, German and Euro zone S&P Services PMI, and UK S&P Global Services PMI.
02The UK will conduct debt auctions for 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month government debt.

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How It Developed

Asian activity gauges showed renewed signs of expansion.
Global equities are heading for their best week since early May.
U.S. jobs data cooled expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate hike.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.1%.
Investors shrugged off AI setbacks acknowledged by Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg.
European futures indicated a higher open for regional markets.
The U.S. dollar was flat against the yen.

Sources

T1
Morning Bid: Stocks shake it offReuters

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