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Asia hedge funds face record monthly loss amid AI stock rout

Created at 30 Jul · 8:22 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Asia-focused equity hedge funds are on track for their largest monthly drawdown on record, falling 18.6% through July 28, according to Goldman Sachs. This reversal follows significant gains from AI hardware bets, with crowded positions now driving steep losses.

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Key Numbers

18.6%Asia hedge fund monthly drawdown (July 28)
100%First-half gains for some AI hardware bets
40%Year-to-date gains before July 22 peak
21Percentage points of gains given back
11%Kospi index tumble on Tuesday
8Consecutive trading days of reduced exposure

Who's Involved

Goldman Sachs
Provided note on hedge fund performance and AI stock rout
SK Hynix
South Korean chipmaker, a leader in AI hardware bets
Samsung Electronics
South Korean chipmaker, a leader in AI hardware bets
Vikas Pershad
Portfolio manager for Asian equities at M&G Investments

↳ Why This Matters

The record losses for Asia-focused hedge funds highlight the significant risks associated with concentrated bets on rapidly evolving technology themes like AI, demonstrating how quickly market sentiment and positioning can shift, impacting major technology sectors and regional economies.

Key facts

  • Asia-focused equity hedge funds are set for their largest monthly drawdown on record.
  • These funds have fallen 18.6% on average in July through the 28th.
  • Crowded bets on AI themes, particularly in South Korean chipmakers, have led to significant losses.
  • Year-to-date gains have reversed, with funds giving back 21 percentage points since their peak.
  • Asian semiconductor stocks experienced a sharp selloff this week, led by South Korea.
  • Hedge funds have been reducing exposure for eight straight trading days.

Asia-focused equity hedge funds are experiencing their largest monthly drawdown on record, with an 18.6% average fall through July 28, according to a Goldman Sachs note. This sharp reversal follows substantial gains earlier in the year, driven by concentrated bets on AI hardware leaders such as South Korean chipmakers SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, where some funds had previously achieved over 100% returns.

Crowded positions in AI themes are now contributing to outsized losses, with funds showing higher exposure to AI suffering steeper declines. The selloff intensified this week, particularly in Asian semiconductor stocks, with South Korea's benchmark Kospi index tumbling nearly 11% on Tuesday, marking its worst session in approximately five months. Investors are increasingly scrutinizing the returns from massive AI spending, leading to unwinding of leveraged positions.

Hedge funds have been actively reducing risk, with Asian funds decreasing exposure for eight consecutive trading days as of July 27. Goldman Sachs noted this represents the largest five-day cumulative de-grossing on record. Selling has been concentrated in Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and China. Vikas Pershad, a portfolio manager at M&G Investments, stated that in market capitalization terms, this is the largest unwind observed, amplified by significant trading volumes on both the ascent and descent.

Frequently asked questions

The losses are primarily due to a broad rout in AI stocks, which has unwound crowded bets that previously fueled significant gains.

South Korean chipmakers like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, along with Asian semiconductor stocks more broadly, have been heavily impacted.

Asia-focused fundamental long-short funds have fallen 18.6% on average in July through the 28th.

De-grossing refers to hedge funds reducing their overall market exposure, both by selling long positions and potentially reducing short positions, to lower risk.

What Happens Next

01Further analysis of hedge fund positioning and AI sector performance is expected.
02Market participants will monitor continued de-grossing or potential re-entry into AI-related stocks.

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How It Developed

Asia-focused fundamental long-short funds fell 18.6% in July through the 28th.
Funds that bet on AI hardware leaders like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics gave back 21 percentage points of year-to-date gains.
South Korea's Kospi index tumbled nearly 11% on Tuesday.
Asian hedge funds reduced exposure for eight consecutive trading days as of July 27.
Selling has concentrated on Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and China.

Sources

T1
Asia stock-picking hedge funds set for record monthly loss, Goldman saysReuters

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