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AMD shares fall as AI payoff expectations remain high

Created at 5 Aug · 8:29 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Advanced Micro Devices shares declined pre-market after its revenue forecast, though strong, fell short of lofty investor expectations for AI chip growth. The company aims to challenge Nvidia's dominance in the AI market.

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Key Numbers

7.4%AMD share price decline
$480.28AMD share price
$61.1 billionAMD market value wiped out
$13 billionAMD Q3 revenue forecast
$300 millionAMD Q3 revenue forecast margin of error
$12.52 billionAnalysts' Q3 revenue estimates
$6.72 billionAMD data-center revenue
2027Year for data-center revenue doubling
35%AMD's total revenue growth target

Who's Involved

Advanced Micro Devices
chipmaker whose shares declined on revenue forecast
Stacy Rasgon
analyst at Bernstein
TD Cowen
analysts who called AMD's results 'objectively good'
Lisa Su
Chief Executive of AMD
Anthropic
company with which AMD signed deals
Core Scientific
company with which AMD signed deals
Nvidia
dominant AI chip competitor
Intel
competitor aiming to regain technology leadership

↳ Why This Matters

The market's reaction to AMD's forecast underscores the intense investor scrutiny and high expectations surrounding companies poised to benefit from the AI boom. AMD's ability to meet or exceed these expectations is crucial for its stock performance and its challenge to Nvidia's market leadership.

Key facts

  • AMD shares fell 7.4% before the market open, potentially wiping $61.1 billion from its market value.
  • The company forecast third-quarter revenue of approximately $13 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates of $12.52 billion.
  • AMD's data-center revenue more than doubled to $6.72 billion, surpassing expectations.
  • CEO Lisa Su stated that AMD expects data-center revenue to more than double by 2027 and projected total revenue growth above its target of over 35%.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares fell pre-market on Wednesday as its revenue forecast, while stronger than expected, did not meet the high expectations of investors seeking clearer signs of accelerated growth from the AI spending boom. The stock was down 7.4% at $480.28, poised to reduce AMD's market value by approximately $61.1 billion.

This decline highlights the significant pressure on AMD to challenge Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market amidst increasing competition from Intel. Analysts noted that expectations for AMD had likely risen following Intel's recent positive results, and the market already held a bullish outlook on AMD.

AMD forecast third-quarter revenue to be around $13 billion, with a margin of error of $300 million, surpassing the analyst consensus of $12.52 billion. Investors have more than doubled AMD's stock value this year, anticipating its emergence as a key alternative to Nvidia for AI chips, thereby setting a high benchmark for quarterly performance.

CEO Lisa Su indicated that AMD anticipates its data-center revenue will more than double by 2027 and projected overall revenue growth exceeding its previous target of over 35%. The company's data-center revenue already more than doubled to $6.72 billion, exceeding expectations. AMD recently secured deals with Anthropic and Core Scientific to advance its AI infrastructure initiatives.

Frequently asked questions

AMD shares declined because its revenue forecast, while strong, fell short of the very high expectations investors had for its AI-related growth.

AMD forecast third-quarter revenue of approximately $13 billion, plus or minus $300 million, which was above analysts' estimates.

AMD expects its data-center revenue to more than double by 2027 and projected total revenue growth above its previously outlined target of more than 35%.

AMD's main competitors in the AI chip market are Nvidia, which currently dominates, and Intel, which is working to regain its technological leadership.

What Happens Next

01Investors will monitor AMD's progress in data-center revenue growth and its competitive positioning against Nvidia and Intel.
02Future announcements regarding AI infrastructure deals and product development will be closely watched.

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How It Developed

AMD shares fell before the market open.
The company forecast third-quarter revenue of about $13 billion, plus or minus $300 million.
AMD expects data-center revenue to more than double by 2027.
The company projected total revenue growth above its previously outlined target of more than 35%.

Sources

T1
AMD falls as investors seek bigger AI payoffReuters

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