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Coldcard Bitcoin Thefts Slow, Losses May Exceed $150 Million: Galaxy

Created at 14 Aug · 5:51 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Stolen Bitcoin losses from the Coldcard exploit are slowing, but the total amount stolen continues to rise, with Galaxy Research estimating potential losses could exceed 2,417 BTC, or over $151 million. Attackers have not shown activity since August 6, suggesting easy targets have been exhausted.

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Key Numbers

1,778 BTCConfirmed stolen Bitcoin
$112 millionApproximate value of confirmed stolen Bitcoin
2,417 BTCPotential total stolen Bitcoin including fourth wave
$151.3 millionPotential total value of stolen Bitcoin
August 6Last observed attacker activity date
190+Victims spoken to directly by Galaxy Research
5,200+Drained addresses charted by Galaxy Research
1,531 BTCStolen Bitcoin remaining in attacker-controlled addresses
246 BTCStolen Bitcoin moved by attackers after theft
40 bitsWeakened key strength due to firmware update

Who's Involved

Galaxy Research
Crypto research firm tracking the Coldcard exploit
Coldcard
Hardware wallet affected by seed-recreation exploit
Coldcard Bitcoin Thefts Slow, Losses May Exceed $150 Million: Galaxy

↳ Why This Matters

This exploit highlights critical vulnerabilities in hardware wallet security and the potential for significant financial losses in the cryptocurrency space, prompting warnings and advice for users to secure their digital assets.

Key facts

  • Coldcard Bitcoin thefts have slowed, but total losses may exceed $150 million.
  • Galaxy Research estimates confirmed stolen Bitcoin at over 1,778 BTC ($112 million).
  • A potential fourth wave could increase the total to 2,417 BTC.
  • The exploit exploits a firmware update that weakened seed generation security.
  • No attacker activity has been detected since August 6.

Stolen Bitcoin losses from the massive Coldcard wallet exploit have begun to slow, but the total amount of BTC swiped continues to climb, with the worst potentially not yet over. Galaxy Research estimates the exploit has drained more than 1,778 BTC, approximately $112 million, and the final figure could be higher.

Attackers have been executing this exploit since at least July 30, 2026, systematically recreating Coldcard-generated seeds and sweeping funds on-chain. Among the confirmed waves and footprints of attacker activity, none shows activity after August 6, suggesting that easy targets may have been exhausted or vulnerable users have migrated funds.

The exploit stems from a 2021 firmware update that rerouted Coldcard's seed generation from its hardware random-number chip to a software stand-in, reducing key strength from 128 bits to as low as 40 bits. This allowed attackers to rebuild seeds from a device's serial number and clock state, enabling them to sweep coins without physical access or resorting to phishing or malware.

Galaxy's breakdown indicates the largest proven wave, Wave 1, pulled 1,082.65 BTC from 1,195 addresses. Footprint E took 209.94 BTC across 2,148 addresses, and Wave 3 took 208.24 BTC from 1,912 addresses. Across three proven waves and 41 smaller footprints, the firm charts more than 5,200 drained addresses.

Of the stolen funds, a significant portion remains in attacker-controlled addresses. Approximately 1,531 BTC of the 1,778 BTC stolen is still unmoved, while about 246 BTC has been moved, with 65% flowing into Coinjoin transactions. A small amount reached exchanges like KuCoin and Jump Crypto.

Galaxy has spoken directly to over 190 victims to attribute losses. The company reiterates its advice for single-signature Coldcard holders to move their funds to new addresses. The episode has prompted an estimated $15 billion in Bitcoin to be moved to safer custody and led to warnings about wallet security adapting to AI-assisted discovery, along with a surge in phishing attempts.

Frequently asked questions

The Coldcard exploit is a seed-recreation vulnerability that allows attackers to rebuild a wallet's seed phrase, enabling them to steal funds without physical access to the device.

Galaxy Research estimates that over 1,778 BTC, worth approximately $112 million, has been confirmed stolen, with a potential total of 2,417 BTC ($151 million) if a suspected fourth wave materializes.

Attackers began executing the exploit around July 30, 2026, with no confirmed activity observed after August 6, 2026.

A 2021 firmware update rerouted Coldcard's seed generation to software, significantly weakening its security from 128 bits to as low as 40 bits.

What Happens Next

01Victims continue to report losses to Galaxy Research.
02Coldcard users are advised to move funds to new addresses if still using single-signature wallets.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Attackers began systematically recreating Coldcard-generated seeds and sweeping funds on July 30, 2026.
Galaxy Research estimates confirmed thefts have reached 1,778 BTC, approximately $112 million.
No attacker activity has been observed since August 6 across three major waves and over 30 smaller footprints.
Galaxy has spoken directly with over 190 victims to attribute losses.
A potential fourth wave of 638.5 BTC could bring the total to 2,417 BTC, exceeding $151 million.
The exploit stems from a 2021 firmware update that rerouted seed generation to software, weakening key strength.

Sources

T1
Coldcard Bitcoin Thefts Slow, But Losses Could Top $150 Million: GalaxyDecrypt

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