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Bitcoin mempool transaction count spikes after Coldcard hack

Created at 5 Aug · 11:26 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Bitcoin's memory pool transaction count reached 89,031 on Tuesday, the highest since February 2025, following a hack of the hardware wallet Coldcard. The increased network activity also saw active addresses and transactions from large holders hit multi-month highs.

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Key Numbers

$120 millionvalue of Coldcard hack
89,031Bitcoin mempool transactions on Tuesday
February 2025last time mempool count was this high
712,000active addresses hit a three-month high
61,800whale transactions hit a five-month high
$62,000–$65,000Bitcoin's recent price range
23%implied probability of Clarity Act passage by year-end
75%Clarity Act passage probability in mid-May
2.5%US 10-year Treasury real yield threshold
2.41%current US 10-year Treasury real yield

Who's Involved

Coldcard
hardware wallet targeted in a hack
Santiment
data-tracking firm reporting on Bitcoin activity
Marex
analysts commenting on policy risk
Bitfinex
exchange providing macro outlook for Bitcoin
Bitcoin mempool transaction count spikes after Coldcard hack

↳ Why This Matters

The hack of Coldcard and subsequent surge in Bitcoin network activity highlight ongoing debates about cryptocurrency security and the role of hardware wallets. The increased transaction volume could potentially support Bitcoin's valuation, though its price has yet to react significantly, remaining influenced by broader macroeconomic factors and policy developments.

Key facts

  • The Coldcard hardware wallet was subjected to a hack beginning July 30.
  • Bitcoin's memory pool transaction count reached 89,031 on Tuesday.
  • This is the highest count since February 2025.
  • Active Bitcoin addresses and transactions from large holders also saw significant increases.
  • Bitcoin's price has remained within its recent $62,000-$65,000 range.

A hack targeting the hardware wallet Coldcard, which began on July 30, has led to a significant increase in activity on the Bitcoin network. The number of transactions awaiting confirmation in Bitcoin's memory pool surged to 89,031 on Tuesday, marking the highest level since February 2025. This spike in network activity is also reflected in other metrics, with the number of active addresses reaching a three-month high of 712,000 and transactions from large holders, or 'whales,' climbing to a five-month high of 61,800, according to data from Blockchain.com and tracking firm Santiment.

Despite the increased network activity, Bitcoin's price has remained relatively stable, trading within its recent range of $62,000 to $65,000. Analysts are currently focused on the potential passage of the Clarity Act as an immediate catalyst for price movement, with the implied probability of its passage by year-end having fallen significantly. Longer-term, analysts at Bitfinex suggest that the bullish macro case for Bitcoin could be threatened if the real yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note surpasses 2.5%, a level not seen since before Bitcoin's existence.

The hack has raised questions about the long-term security of holding coins directly in hardware wallets, a practice that gained traction after the FTX exchange collapse in 2022. However, the increased transaction volume suggests that holders are actively moving their assets, potentially to exchanges or other wallets, which is seen as a positive sign for network engagement.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin memory pool, or mempool, is a holding area for unconfirmed Bitcoin transactions waiting to be processed and added to the blockchain by miners.

A hardware wallet is a physical device used to store cryptocurrency private keys offline, offering a high level of security against online threats.

Whales are individuals or entities that hold a large amount of a particular cryptocurrency, capable of significantly influencing market prices.

The Clarity Act is a piece of legislation that analysts are watching as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin's price movement, though its passage probability has decreased.

What Happens Next

01The Senate has a three-day window before its August 10 recess to consider the Clarity Act.
02Analysts will continue to monitor the U.S. 10-year Treasury note's real yield.

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Cadence

How It Developed

A hack of the hardware wallet Coldcard began on July 30.
Bitcoin's memory pool transaction count reached 89,031 on Tuesday.
The transaction count is the highest since February 2025.
The number of active Bitcoin addresses hit a three-month high.
Transactions from large Bitcoin holders climbed to a five-month high.

Sources

T1
The $120 million Coldcard hack lights up Bitcoin's memory poolCoinDesk

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