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Bitcoin, ether fall as equities rally; crypto market set for best month in a year

Created at 31 Jul · 11:11 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Bitcoin and ether declined on the last day of July, diverging from equities and broader crypto market gains. The CoinDesk 20 Index is on track for its largest monthly advance in a year, driven by altcoins like Uniswap and Cardano, despite broader market headwinds.

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Key Numbers

1.31%Bitcoin price decline
$63,870Bitcoin price
1.40%Ether price decline
$1,890Ether price
15%South Korea's Kospi surge
1.23%Nasdaq 100 index futures rise
9.30%UNI price gain
4.09%ADA price gain
8.7%CoinDesk 20 Index monthly gain
2.34%CoinDesk 20 Index weekly decline
2.27 billionXRP futures open interest in tokens
$1.07XRP price
750KBTC open interest
75.80 millionUNI open interest
37%Bitcoin 30-day implied volatility
$10 billionBitcoin and ether options expired

Who's Involved

Bitcoin
price down 1.31% to $63,870
Ether
price down 1.40% to $1,890
Uniswap (UNI)
price up 9.30% on layer-2 momentum
Cardano (ADA)
price up 4.09% on recovery
Federal Reserve
hawkish comments denting crypto recovery hopes
BlackRock
debuted tokenized Treasury fund on Uniswap
Bitcoin, ether fall as equities rally; crypto market set for best month in a year

↳ Why This Matters

The divergence between major cryptocurrencies and the broader crypto market's strong monthly performance highlights shifting investor sentiment and the impact of macroeconomic factors and specific token news on market dynamics.

Key facts

  • Bitcoin fell 1.31% to $63,870 and ether dropped 1.40% to $1,890.
  • The CoinDesk 20 Index has gained 8.7% in July, marking its largest monthly advance in a year.
  • Uniswap (UNI) rose 9.30% due to momentum from its Robinhood layer-2 integration.
  • Cardano (ADA) gained 4.09% as it continues a recovery from June lows.
  • XRP futures open interest increased to 2.27 billion tokens, indicating a bearish sentiment.
  • Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility (BVIV) decreased to 37%, the lowest since May.

Bitcoin and ether experienced declines on the final day of July, diverging from a rally in equities and the broader cryptocurrency market, which is poised for its best monthly performance in a year. Bitcoin fell 1.31% to $63,870, while ether dropped 1.40% to $1,890, struggling to reclaim the $2,000 level.

Despite the dip in major cryptocurrencies, the CoinDesk 20 Index has gained 8.7% in July, its largest monthly advance since July of the previous year. This positive momentum is attributed to strong performances from altcoins such as Uniswap (UNI), which rose 9.30% following its integration with Robinhood's layer-2 solution, and Cardano (ADA), which gained 4.09% as part of a broader recovery.

However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials have tempered recovery hopes for the crypto market this week. The CoinDesk 20 Index has seen a 2.34% decrease since Monday, though it remains positive for the month.

Analysis of derivatives markets indicates a bearish sentiment. The taker long-short futures volume ratio leans bearish, and XRP's futures open interest has risen to 2.27 billion tokens, the highest since late June, confirming a downtrend as traders anticipate further price drops. Bitcoin's open interest remains static, suggesting a reluctance to deploy capital in leveraged products. Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen to 37%, the lowest since May, a level that has historically preceded price bounces.

Early Friday saw the expiration of bitcoin and ether options worth $10 billion on Deribit. A $60,000 put option represents a significant bearish bet on the market. Other tokens like Ethena (ENA) extended their recovery, while Lighter (LIT) and Zcash (ZEC) experienced corrections.

Frequently asked questions

Bitcoin is trading at $63,870, down 1.31%.

Ether is trading at $1,890, down 1.40%.

The CoinDesk 20 Index is a measure of the overall cryptocurrency market performance.

Uniswap's price increased due to momentum from its Robinhood layer-2 integration announced earlier this month.

Implied volatility (like Bitcoin's BVIV) is a measure of the market's expectation of future price fluctuations.

What Happens Next

01Market participants will monitor Federal Reserve communications for further clues on monetary policy.
02Ongoing developments in the Middle East conflict could influence risk appetite.
03The performance of key altcoins like UNI and ADA will be watched for continued momentum.
04The impact of recent options expiries on market volatility will become clearer.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Bitcoin and ether prices declined on the final day of July.
The broader crypto market, measured by the CoinDesk 20 Index, is on track for its best monthly gain in a year.
Uniswap (UNI) and Cardano (ADA) showed notable gains, driven by positive newsflow and recovery momentum.
Middle East conflict and hawkish Federal Reserve comments have impacted crypto's recovery hopes.
Derivatives markets show a bearish lean, with rising XRP futures open interest and negative cumulative volume delta for most tokens.
Bitcoin's implied volatility fell to its lowest level since May, potentially signaling a floor for the 'fear index'.
Options expiries worth $10 billion for bitcoin and ether occurred early Friday, with a $60,000 put option being a popular bearish bet.

Sources

T1
Bitcoin, ether fall, equities rally with broader crypto market on track for best month in a yearCoinDesk

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