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Uzbekistan coal prices diverge after market liberalisation

Created at 21 Jul · 4:46 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Thermal coal prices in Uzbekistan have diverged since the country lifted price restrictions in early June. Household coal grades remained stable, while prices for power plant usage showed mixed trends, according to data from the Uzbek Commodity Exchange.

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Key Numbers

$111.28/tD-grade thermal coal price for households
$38/tSS-grade thermal coal price for households
$80.50/tD-grade thermal coal price for utilities
33%Lignite price jump
$40/tLignite price
36%Domestic coal production decline year-on-year
1.6 million tDomestic coal production Jan-May
288,500tCoal imports from Kyrgyzstan Jan-Mar
48.4%Year-on-year jump in coal imports from Kyrgyzstan

Who's Involved

Uzbek Commodity Exchange (Uzex)
Provided data on coal prices post-liberalisation
Uzbekistan government
Ended state-set prices for coal industry
Kyrgyzstan
Supplied coal imports to Uzbekistan

↳ Why This Matters

The divergence in coal prices reflects the impact of market liberalisation on different consumer segments and highlights potential supply challenges, with domestic production falling and imports increasing.

Key facts

  • Uzbekistan liberalised its coal market on June 1, removing state-set prices.
  • Prices for household coal grades remained stable, with D-grade thermal coal near $111.28/t and SS-grade near $38/t.
  • Utilities saw prices for D-grade thermal coal (0-300mm) hold steady at $80.50/t.
  • Lignite prices (0-300mm) increased by 33% to approximately $40/t over the past month.
  • Domestic coal production decreased by 36% year-on-year to 1.6 million tonnes from January to May.

Uzbekistan has seen a divergence in thermal coal prices since liberalising its market and removing state-set price restrictions on June 1. Data from the Uzbek Commodity Exchange (Uzex) indicates that prices for coal grades intended for household consumption have remained stable, while those for power plant usage have shown mixed trends.

Under the new market-based system, thermal power plants and industrial buyers can procure coal through a "request for proposals" method or tenders, with prices determined by weighted averages on the exchange. Households and public institutions have a separate mechanism for securing deliveries, with producers selling to entrepreneurs via a dedicated trading platform.

Specific price data shows that D-grade thermal coal (20-60mm) for households hovered around $111.28/t, and SS-grade thermal coal (13mm) remained near $38/t, with no change since June 1. Utilities using D-grade thermal coal (0-300mm) also saw prices hold steady at $80.50/t. However, lignite (0-300mm) experienced a significant 33% price increase to approximately $40/t over the past month.

Uzbekistan's coal supply relies on two main reserves: the Angren coalfield, which yields high-ash, low-calorific value lignite, and the Shargun deposit, producing higher-quality bituminous coal. Local power plants typically use a blend from both regions as an alternative to imports.

Meanwhile, domestic coal production in Uzbekistan declined by 36% year-on-year to 1.6 million tonnes during January-May. The government plans to increase its coal output forecast to 11 million tonnes for the upcoming autumn-winter season. Coal imports, primarily via rail from Kyrgyzstan, increased by 48.4% year-on-year to 288,500 tonnes in the first quarter.

Frequently asked questions

Uzbekistan lifted price restrictions and liberalised its coal market from June 1.

Prices for household coal grades, such as D-grade thermal coal and SS-grade thermal coal, have remained stable since June 1.

Lignite sized at 0-300mm saw the sharpest price jump, increasing by 33% to near $40/t over the past month.

Domestic coal production in Uzbekistan fell by 36% year-on-year to 1.6 million tonnes from January to May.

What Happens Next

01The government plans to raise coal output forecast to 11 million tonnes for the upcoming autumn-winter season.

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How It Developed

Uzbekistan ended state-set prices for its coal industry on June 1.
Thermal coal prices for household consumption remained stable post-liberalisation.
Prices for coal grades used by power plants showed mixed trends.
Lignite prices jumped 33% to near $40/t in the past month.
Domestic coal production fell 36% year-on-year to 1.6 million tonnes in January-May.
Imports from Kyrgyzstan jumped 48.4% year-on-year to 288,500 tonnes in January-March.

Sources

T1
Uzbekistan coal prices diverge since liberalisationArgus Media

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