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US gasoline prices rise as Iran conflict boosts oil

Created at 10 Jul · 8:40 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. gasoline prices have increased due to renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran, which has driven crude oil prices up. Disruptions in global refining and strong U.S. fuel exports have further tightened supplies, leading to higher average pump prices.

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Key Numbers

$3.88average U.S. gasoline price per gallon
6 centsweekly increase in average U.S. gasoline price
5.5%weekly gain for Brent crude oil futures
1.9 million barrelsdecrease in U.S. gasoline inventories last week
212.1 million barrelscurrent U.S. gasoline stockpiles
nearly 10 million barrelsstockpiles below the five-year average
8.7 million bpdweekly record for U.S. petroleum product exports
146,000-barrel-per-dayMarathon Petroleum refinery capacity in Detroit
190,000-barrel-per-dayDelta refinery capacity in Trainer, Pennsylvania

Who's Involved

Nicole Jao
Reuters reporter
Alex Hodes
Director of energy market strategy at StoneX
Tom Kloza
Chief energy adviser at Gulf Oil
Denton Cinquegrana
Chief oil analyst at Dow Jones Energy
President Donald Trump
Accused oil companies of price gouging
U.S. Justice Department
Urged to investigate possible gasoline price gouging
Energy Information Administration
Reported on U.S. gasoline inventories
Marathon Petroleum
Operator of a refinery in Detroit, Michigan
Delta
Operator of a refinery in Trainer, Pennsylvania
US gasoline prices rise as Iran conflict boosts oil

↳ Why This Matters

The rise in U.S. gasoline prices, driven by geopolitical conflict and supply constraints, directly impacts consumers during the peak summer driving season and presents a political challenge for President Trump's administration ahead of the midterm elections.

Key facts

  • U.S. gasoline prices increased by 6 cents to an average of $3.88 per gallon.
  • Renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz has driven up crude oil prices.
  • Global oil futures benchmark Brent saw a weekly gain of approximately 5.5%.
  • Unplanned refinery outages in Russia and the U.S. have contributed to supply tightness.
  • U.S. gasoline inventories decreased by 1.9 million barrels last week.

U.S. drivers are experiencing rising gasoline prices again, with average pump prices climbing 6 cents to $3.88 a gallon, the largest weekly increase since mid-May. This reversal follows weeks of steady declines and is attributed to renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran, which has pushed crude oil prices to their biggest weekly rise in eight weeks. Attacks on several tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil and gas supplies, have exacerbated supply concerns.

Energy market analysts point to the geopolitical tensions as a primary driver, with Brent crude futures on track for a roughly 5.5% weekly gain. The U.S. has also revoked a general license that permitted the sale of Iranian oil, further tightening global markets. President Donald Trump has criticized oil companies for alleged price gouging and urged the Justice Department to investigate.

Compounding the issue are disruptions in the global refining system. Unplanned refinery outages in both Russia and the United States have squeezed fuel supplies. Russia's refining sector has been particularly impacted by attacks, leading to reduced fuel production and tightened global supplies. In the U.S., refinery disruptions, including at Marathon Petroleum's Detroit facility and Delta's Trainer, Pennsylvania refinery, have further strained supplies.

U.S. gasoline inventories fell by 1.9 million barrels last week, leaving stockpiles nearly 10 million barrels below the five-year average. Stockpiles are running below seasonal norms across all U.S. regions, with a pronounced shortfall on the Gulf Coast. The loss of Middle Eastern and Russian barrels has allowed U.S. refiners to achieve stronger margins as key suppliers. Furthermore, U.S. petroleum product exports reached a weekly record of 8.7 million barrels per day in the week to July 3, indicating robust demand for U.S. refined products globally.

Frequently asked questions

The increase is primarily due to renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran, which has driven up crude oil prices, coupled with disruptions in global refining and robust U.S. fuel exports.

Average U.S. pump prices rose 6 cents to $3.88 a gallon, marking the biggest weekly increase since mid-May.

The Strait of Hormuz is a key waterway that carried about 20% of daily global oil and gas supplies before the start of the war, and even minor disruptions can significantly impact global fuel markets.

U.S. gasoline inventories fell by 1.9 million barrels last week to 212.1 million barrels, which is nearly 10 million barrels below the five-year average.

What Happens Next

01Prices are expected to mostly drift up and down in the short-term.
02The U.S. administration has urged the Justice Department to investigate potential gasoline price gouging.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Silver futures slide amid rising geopolitical tensions.
    10 Jul · 9:12 PM
  • Silver futures slide amid rising geopolitical tensions.
    10 Jul · 9:12 PM
  • WTI Crude Oil and Natural Gas futures slide to multi-month lows.
    10 Jul · 8:57 PM

How It Developed

U.S. gasoline prices have climbed after weeks of declines.
Renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran has lifted crude oil prices.
Average U.S. pump prices rose 6 cents to $3.88 a gallon.
Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz contributed to the price increase.
U.S. revoked a license for Iranian oil sales.
Unplanned refinery outages in Russia and the U.S. have further squeezed fuel supplies.
U.S. gasoline inventories fell by 1.9 million barrels last week.
U.S. petroleum product exports hit a weekly record of 8.7 million bpd.

Sources

T1
US pain at the pump worsens after more US-Iran fighting lifts oil pricesReuters

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