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Ryanair Profit Falls 36% as Unhedged Jet Fuel Costs Double

Created at 21 Jul · 1:46 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Ryanair reported a 36% drop in pre-tax profit to €593m in the first quarter due to a doubling of unhedged jet fuel costs. The airline's operating costs rose 11% to €3.8bn, while revenue slipped 1% to €4.3bn amid lower fares and consumer hesitancy linked to the Middle East conflict.

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Key Numbers

36%profit decline
€593mpre-tax profit
11%operating cost increase
€3.8bnoperating costs
1%revenue slip
€4.3bnrevenue
$150per barrel for unhedged jet fuel
20%unhedged jet fuel
6%traffic jump
80%current financial year fuel hedged
$67per barrel for hedged fuel
15%2028 financial year fuel hedged
$85per barrel for 2028 hedged fuel
5.7%share price drop
€24share price on Euronext Dublin
$63share price on Nasdaq

Who's Involved

Ryanair
budget airline reporting profit fall
Michael O'Leary
CEO of Ryanair, contract extended
Panmure Liberum
stockbroker viewing update as disappointing
Stan McCarthy
Ryanair chairman
Ryanair Profit Falls 36% as Unhedged Jet Fuel Costs Double

↳ Why This Matters

The results highlight the vulnerability of airlines to unhedged commodity costs, particularly jet fuel, and the impact of geopolitical events on consumer confidence and booking patterns. Ryanair's performance also signals potential headwinds for the broader airline industry and its reliance on hedging strategies.

Key facts

  • Ryanair's pre-tax profit dropped 36% to €593m in the three months to June.
  • Operating costs rose 11% to €3.8bn due to a doubling of unhedged jet fuel costs.
  • Revenue slipped 1% to €4.3bn as lower fares impacted earnings.
  • The airline has 80% of its fuel needs hedged for the current financial year at $67 per barrel.
  • Michael O'Leary's contract as CEO was extended for six years.

Ryanair experienced a 36% decline in pre-tax profit, falling to €593m in the first quarter, as the airline grappled with significantly higher jet fuel costs. The budget carrier reported that the 20% of its jet fuel that was not hedged more than doubled in price to $150 per barrel, contributing to an 11% increase in operating costs to €3.8bn.

Despite a 6% rise in traffic, Ryanair's revenue slipped by 1% to €4.3bn due to lower fares. Chief executive Michael O'Leary attributed this to consumer hesitancy stemming from the Middle East conflict, concerns over EU jet-fuel shortages, economic uncertainty, and later bookings. He noted that second-quarter pricing is trending modestly down year-on-year, with the final first-half fare outcome dependent on late August and September bookings.

The airline stated that its "conservative" jet fuel hedging policy, which covers 80% of its needs for the current financial year at $67 per barrel, still provides better protection than many EU competitors. However, energy costs are expected to rise next year, with 15% of its 2028 financial year requirement hedged at $85 per barrel.

Stockbroker Panmure Liberum described the update as "slightly disappointing" given that Ryanair's profit missed analyst expectations. In a separate development, Michael O'Leary had his contract as CEO extended for six years, a move supported by Ryanair chairman Stan McCarthy for the benefit of shareholders. Shares in Ryanair fell 5.7% on both Euronext Dublin and the Nasdaq.

Frequently asked questions

Ryanair's profit fell due to a significant increase in the cost of unhedged jet fuel, which more than doubled in price.

Operating costs jumped 11% to €3.8bn in the first quarter.

Ryanair has 80% of its fuel needs hedged for the current financial year at $67 per barrel, but 15% for the 2028 financial year is hedged at $85 per barrel.

The conflict led to consumer hesitancy, concerns about jet-fuel shortages, economic uncertainty, and later bookings, resulting in lower fares and a revenue slip.

What Happens Next

01Ryanair's second-quarter pricing will be monitored for year-on-year trends.
02The strength of late-summer bookings will influence final first-half fare outcomes.
03Future hedging strategies and their impact on costs will be closely watched.

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How It Developed

Ryanair's pre-tax profit fell 36% to €593m in the first quarter.
Operating costs increased 11% to €3.8bn.
Revenue decreased 1% to €4.3bn.
Unhedged jet fuel costs more than doubled to $150 per barrel.
Fares trended modestly down year-on-year in the second quarter.
Michael O'Leary's contract was extended for six years.
Ryanair shares fell 5.7% on Euronext Dublin and Nasdaq.

Sources

T1
Ryanair Profit Falls 36% as Unhedged Jet Fuel Costs DoubleOilPrice.com

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