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Pakistan's Power Costs Surge 38% Amid Record Spot LNG Purchases

Created at 18 Aug · 11:56 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Pakistan's electricity generation costs jumped 38% in July year-over-year, driven by record-high spot LNG prices and increased power output. The country resorted to expensive spot market purchases due to supply disruptions from Qatar and Middle East tensions.

Key Numbers

38%year-over-year increase in power generation costs
7%increase in total electricity generation in July
$21.88 per MMBtuhighest price paid for a spot LNG cargo

Who's Involved

Arif Habib Limited
local brokerage and research firm analyzing generation costs
Pakistan LNG Limited
state-controlled importer that accepted a spot cargo offer
TotalEnergies Gas & Power Limited
supplier of a high-priced spot LNG cargo
Pakistan's Power Costs Surge 38% Amid Record Spot LNG Purchases

↳ Why This Matters

The substantial increase in Pakistan's power generation costs highlights the country's vulnerability to global energy market volatility and supply chain disruptions, potentially impacting inflation, economic stability, and the affordability of electricity for consumers and businesses.

Key facts

  • Pakistan's power generation costs rose 38% in July year-over-year.
  • The country paid record-high spot LNG prices, reaching $21.88 per MMBtu.
  • Increased power output and reliance on spot LNG cargoes drove up costs.
  • Supply disruptions from Qatar and Middle East tensions forced reliance on the spot market.
  • Pakistan's electricity generation costs surged by 38% in July compared to the previous year, largely due to record-high spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices and increased power output. The country was compelled to purchase LNG on the spot market at elevated prices, reaching up to $21.88 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in mid-July, the highest since the Iran war began. This situation arose from supply disruptions, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and issues with regular shipments from its term supplier, Qatar.

    Total electricity generation in July also increased by 7% year-over-year, marking the second-highest for the month. This rise was supported by the highest-ever generation from hydroelectric, local coal, and imported coal sources. The reliance on spot LNG cargoes, coupled with higher furnace oil prices and elevated oil prices globally, significantly contributed to the increased generation costs, according to analysis from Arif Habib Limited. The last time Pakistan paid such high prices for LNG was in 2022, when Asian spot prices spiked following the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

    Frequently asked questions

    Costs surged due to record-high spot LNG prices, increased power output, and reliance on expensive spot cargoes amid supply disruptions.

    In mid-July, Pakistan accepted an offer for a spot cargo at $21.88 per million British thermal units (MMBtu).

    Supply disruptions from Qatar and Middle East tensions, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, prevented regular term shipments.

    What Happens Next

    01Pakistan continues to issue tenders for LNG delivery in August.
    02The country is seeking to secure liquefied natural gas supply amid ongoing market volatility.
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    How It Developed

    Power generation costs in Pakistan increased by 38% in July compared to the previous year.
    The country paid the highest spot LNG prices in four years.
    Total electricity generation rose 7% in July, reaching the second-highest for the month.
    Increased reliance on spot LNG cargoes and higher oil prices contributed to the surge.
    Pakistan accepted an offer for a spot cargo at $21.88 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in mid-July.
    This price was the highest Pakistan has paid for LNG since the start of the Iran war.

    Sources

    T1
    Pakistan's Power Generation Costs Jump 38% on Record Spot LNG BuysOilPrice.com

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