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Oil Surges as US Strikes on Iran Prompt Strait of Hormuz Closure

Created at 11 Jun · 2:07 AM11 sources↑ Market-relevant9 events
IN SHORT

Oil prices were nearly flat as investors assessed supply impacts amid renewed US-Iran strikes and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure claim. Brent futures were down 0.1% and WTI crude gained 0.1%. Weaker Chinese fuel demand also helped contain the rally.

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Key Numbers

$92.98Brent futures price per barrel
$90.10WTI crude price per barrel
0.1%Brent futures change
0.1%WTI crude change
20%global oil and gas shipments through Strait of Hormuz
7.2 million barrelsUS crude inventory draw
lowest level in over two decadesOPEC output in May

Who's Involved

Donald Trump
U.S. President warning of further strikes on Iran
Iran
Declared Strait of Hormuz closed and conducted punitive operations
United States
Launched additional strikes against Iran
U.S. military
Stated commercial ships continued to transit the Strait of Hormuz
MUFG
Analyst commenting on supply disruption risks
EIA
Reported US crude inventories fell by 7.2 million barrels
Reuters
Survey showed OPEC output at lowest level in over two decades
ADNOC
Managed to export crude despite tensions
Oil Surges as US Strikes on Iran Prompt Strait of Hormuz Closure

↳ Why This Matters

The ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, coupled with Iran's declaration of closing the Strait of Hormuz, introduces significant uncertainty into global oil supply. This escalation risks prolonged disruptions, impacting crude, fuel, and LNG exports and potentially affecting global energy prices and economic stability.

Key facts

  • Oil prices were nearly flat as investors weighed the impact of supply disruptions from the war in the Middle East.
  • President Donald Trump warned that the U.S. military would hit Iran "very hard tonight" and take control of its oil and gas infrastructure.
  • Brent futures were down 0.1% and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.1%.
  • Weaker Chinese fuel demand is helping to contain the Iran-driven oil rally.
  • Iran's joint military command announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz for oil tankers and commercial ships.
  • The U.S. military stated that commercial ships continued to transit in and out of the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices were nearly flat on Thursday as investors weighed the impact of supply disruptions from the war in the Middle East, following President Donald Trump's warning that the U.S. military would hit Iran "very hard tonight." Hostilities between the U.S. and Iran have recently escalated, with Tehran declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed after Washington launched additional strikes against the country. Trump also stated the U.S. will soon take control of Iran's oil and gas infrastructure and markets.

Brent futures were down 0.1% to $92.98 a barrel by 1303 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.1% to $90.10. Three Iranian sources and a European official said the U.S. and Iran were exchanging messages on details of a memorandum after reaching a political understanding, but some issues still had to be discussed in detail, including a mechanism for the release of billions of dollars in frozen Iranian funds.

Weaker Chinese fuel demand is also helping to contain the Iran-driven oil rally, with data showing falling gasoline and diesel use as well as lower crude imports. Iran's joint military command announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, including for oil tankers and commercial ships, saying any vessel attempting passage will come under fire. The strait is a vital waterway that handles about 20% of global oil and gas shipments. MUFG analyst Soojin Kim said the latest escalation adds uncertainty to already fragile ceasefire negotiations and risks prolonged supply disruptions.

On Wednesday, the U.S. military said on X that commercial ships continued to transit in and out of the Strait of Hormuz and that no U.S. warships had been struck, after Iran's state media reported U.S. ships near it were targeted by missiles and drones. Three more LNG tankers have slipped out of the strait with their transponders off, heading to Asia, though the timing is unclear. India reported an incident involving a vessel off the Port of Shinas in Oman earlier on Thursday, the third such incident this week, but Indian refiners told Reuters they had secured enough crude to meet their needs through at least August. Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) and some other sellers managed to export crude, some of which was offered to buyers in Asia.

U.S. crude inventories fell by 7.2 million barrels to 426.5 million in the week ended June 5, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, compared with analysts' expectations for a draw of 4 million barrels. OPEC's output in May slid to its lowest level in more than two decades, a Reuters survey showed, as a U.S. naval blockade curbed Iran's exports and Tehran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz slashed shipments from other Gulf producers.

Frequently asked questions

Oil prices were nearly flat on Thursday, with Brent futures down 0.1% and WTI crude up 0.1%.

Escalating hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, Iran's declaration of closing the Strait of Hormuz, and weaker Chinese fuel demand are impacting oil prices.

The Strait of Hormuz is a vital waterway that handles approximately 20% of global oil and gas shipments.

Three Iranian sources and a European official indicated that the U.S. and Iran are exchanging messages on a political understanding, though issues like frozen funds still need detailed discussion.

What Happens Next

01The U.S. military is expected to take further action against Iran.
02Backchannel talks between the U.S. and Iran are expected to continue.
03Details regarding the release of frozen Iranian funds are still to be discussed.

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Cadence
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How It Developed

Oil prices surged after US strikes on Iran, leading Iran to halt vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
US and Iran traded strikes for a second day, with Iran vowing to maintain its Strait of Hormuz chokehold.
Oil prices rose as President Trump vowed hard strikes and control of Iran's oil infrastructure, while backchannel talks continue.
Oil prices were nearly flat as investors weighed the impact of supply disruptions from the war in the Middle East.

Sources

T1
Oil Surges as Fresh US Strikes on Iran Threaten Fragile TruceBloomberg
T1
Why are oil prices up now and will Brent futures and US WTI crude prices continue to rise or decline again? Oil market reacts to US-Iran escalation and Strait of Hormuz closureThe Economic Times
T1
Iran warns Mideast truce 'practically meaningless' after US strikesThe Economic Times
T1
US and Iran trade strikes for second day, threatening return of all-out warEuronews
T1
Oil rises more than $1 as escalation in US-Iran strikes unnerve tradersReuters via PiQSuite
T1
Oil edges up as traders digest escalation in US-Iran strikesReuters via PiQSuite
T1
Oil falls as traders digest escalation in US-Iran strikesReuters via PiQSuite
T1
Oil falls 1% as traders digest escalation in US-Iran strikesReuters via PiQSuite
T1
Oil gains after Trump says US will hit Iran 'very hard tonight'Reuters via PiQSuite
T1
Oil prices steady as investors weigh US-Iran war escalationReuters via PiQSuite
T1
Oil rises more than $1 as escalation in US-Iran strikes unnerve tradersPiQSuite
T2
Oil price: U.S. completes Iran strikes after Apache helicopter attackcnbc.com
T2
Oil settles up nearly US$2 after Trump threatens to hit Iran 'very hard' - The Business Timesbusinesstimes.com.sg
T2
Oil prices jump nearly 3% after fresh US strikes on Iran fuel fears of a prolonged West Asia conflict – Firstpostfirstpost.com

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