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Lufthansa warns profits could fall amid fuel price volatility

Created at 4 Aug · 10:23 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Lufthansa warned that operating profit could fall this year after its second-quarter earnings more than halved due to higher fuel costs. The airline group cited geopolitical crises and uncertainties, particularly the U.S.-Iran war, as contributing factors to volatile fuel prices.

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Key Numbers

€383 millionLufthansa's Q2 adjusted EBIT
€870 millionLufthansa's Q2 adjusted EBIT year-ago
10.35%Lufthansa shares down
€1.7 billion to €2.2 billionLufthansa's 2026 adjusted EBIT forecast
€8.66 billionLufthansa's expected 2026 fuel costs
3%Lufthansa capacity fell in Q2
86%Lufthansa fuel needs hedged for this year

Who's Involved

Lufthansa
German airline group warning of profit fall
Till Streichert
Chief Financial Officer of Lufthansa
Carsten Spohr
Chief Executive of Lufthansa
IAG
British Airways-owner hit by higher fuel costs
Air France-KLM
Airline group hit by higher fuel costs
Lufthansa warns profits could fall amid fuel price volatility

↳ Why This Matters

The warning from Lufthansa highlights the significant impact of volatile fuel prices, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, on the airline industry's profitability and outlook. This could lead to higher ticket prices for consumers and continued pressure on airline financial performance.

Key facts

  • Lufthansa's second-quarter operating profit fell to €383 million from €870 million a year earlier.
  • The airline group warned that operating profit could fall this year due to higher fuel costs.
  • Lufthansa now expects 2026 fuel costs of €8.66 billion.
  • The company plans to retire or temporarily ground several aircraft, including Airbus A340-600s and Boeing 747-400s.

Lufthansa warned on Tuesday that its operating profit could fall this year after earnings more than halved in the second quarter, citing higher fuel costs linked to geopolitical crises. The German airline group's shares fell sharply as investors reacted to the uncertain outlook and worse-than-expected quarterly results, particularly rising unit costs.

Chief Executive Carsten Spohr stated that despite improvements in load factor and yield, the company could not fully offset the considerable rise in fuel costs. The U.S.-Iran war, which began in late February, sent fuel prices surging, and they remain volatile. This volatility poses a significant challenge for businesses, including European airlines like IAG and Air France-KLM, which have also been impacted by elevated fuel expenses.

Lufthansa's adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) fell to €383 million in the second quarter, below analysts' average forecast. The company now expects €1.7 billion to €2.2 billion in adjusted EBIT for 2026, a downward revision from previous projections. The group also anticipates 2026 fuel costs of €8.66 billion. To mitigate these costs, Lufthansa plans to retire or temporarily ground several fuel-intensive aircraft, including Airbus A340-600s and two Boeing 747-400s.

Despite the challenges, Lufthansa maintained its longer-term targets, including an operating margin of 8% to 10% between 2028 and 2030. Analysts suggest that Lufthansa is justified in raising ticket prices to offset higher expenses.

Frequently asked questions

Lufthansa's operating profit more than halved in the second quarter primarily due to higher fuel costs, exacerbated by geopolitical crises and volatile fuel prices.

The company forecasts its 2026 adjusted earnings before interest and tax to be between €1.7 billion and €2.2 billion.

Lufthansa plans to retire or temporarily ground several fuel-intensive aircraft, including Airbus A340-600s and Boeing 747-400s, to reduce fuel consumption and exposure to unhedged fuel costs.

What Happens Next

01Lufthansa to implement aircraft retirements and grounding from the winter schedule.
02Investors to monitor future fuel price developments and their impact on airline earnings.

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How It Developed

Lufthansa's second-quarter operating profit more than halved.
The airline group warned that operating profit could fall this year.
Lufthansa forecast its 2026 adjusted earnings before interest and tax would be €1.7 billion to €2.2 billion.
The company plans to retire or temporarily ground several aircraft.

Sources

T1
Lufthansa warns profits could fall amid fuel price volatilityReuters

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