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Toyota Expected to Report Fifth Straight Quarterly Profit Drop

Created at 2 Aug · 11:03 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Toyota is forecast to report a fifth consecutive quarterly operating profit decline due to weaker vehicle sales and rising costs. Investors are also assessing the impact of a recent earthquake on production and supply chains.

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Key Numbers

5%expected profit decline year-over-year
1.11 trillion yenexpected operating profit for April-June quarter
$7.04 billionexpected operating profit in USD
2.5 million unitsglobal sales in Q1
3%global sales decline
28%sales decline in China
one-thirdsales drop in the Middle East
16%sales decline in Oceania
5%sales decline in Central and South America
3 trillion yencurrent financial year operating profit forecast

Who's Involved

Toyota
automaker expected to post profit decline
Christopher Richter
autos analyst at CLSA
Aisin
supplier affected by earthquake

↳ Why This Matters

The results will provide insight into Toyota's ability to navigate global economic headwinds, supply chain disruptions, and the impact of natural disasters on its production, potentially influencing investor sentiment and its market position.

Key facts

  • Toyota is projected to announce its fifth consecutive quarterly operating profit decrease.
  • The automaker is expected to report 1.11 trillion yen ($7.04 billion) in profit for the April-June quarter.
  • Global sales for Toyota and Lexus vehicles declined by 3% to over 2.5 million units during the quarter.
  • A recent earthquake in southern Japan has led to production halts at four Toyota plants and affected supplier operations.
  • Analysts anticipate a 5% year-over-year decline in profit.

Toyota is anticipated to report its fifth consecutive quarterly operating profit decrease this week, with analysts projecting a 5% year-over-year drop to 1.11 trillion yen ($7.04 billion) for the April-June period. Weaker global sales volumes, particularly in China and the Middle East, coupled with rising supply chain costs linked to the conflict in the Middle East, are expected to have weighed on earnings. Global sales for Toyota and Lexus vehicles fell 3% to just over 2.5 million units in the quarter.

Investors are also closely monitoring the impact of a recent earthquake on Japan's Kyushu island, which disrupted production at supplier facilities and forced Toyota to halt output at four domestic plants. Uncertainty surrounds the resumption of operations at a damaged supplier plant, Aisin, which is crucial for Toyota's supply chain.

Analysts noted that sales in Oceania and Latin America were also impacted by aggressive expansion from Chinese brands like BYD. Furthermore, the transition to a redesigned RAV4 model in the U.S. market may have affected sales. Investors will be looking for details on when sales of the new model are expected to accelerate.

Toyota's full-year operating profit forecast of 3 trillion yen remains under scrutiny, with higher material costs and earthquake-related disruptions clouding the outlook.

Frequently asked questions

Toyota is expected to report 1.11 trillion yen ($7.04 billion) in operating profit for the April-June quarter.

Weaker vehicle sales in some overseas markets, rising supply chain costs, and disruptions from a recent earthquake in Japan are impacting earnings.

Global sales of Toyota and Lexus vehicles fell 3% to just over 2.5 million units in the first quarter.

The earthquake has forced Toyota to halt output at four domestic plants and disrupted production at supplier facilities.

What Happens Next

01Toyota to report April-June quarter operating profit on Tuesday.
02Investors to assess impact of Japan earthquake on production and supply chain.
03Company to provide updates on RAV4 model sales transition.
04Analysts to monitor changes to Toyota's full-year profit forecast.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Toyota is expected to report a fifth straight quarterly operating profit decline.
Analysts anticipate a 5% year-over-year drop in profit for the April-June quarter.
Weaker sales volumes in China and the Middle East, alongside rising supply chain costs, are cited as key factors.
Global sales of Toyota and Lexus vehicles fell 3% in the quarter.
A recent earthquake in southern Japan has disrupted production at supplier plants and forced Toyota to halt output at four domestic facilities.
Uncertainty remains regarding the resumption of production at a damaged supplier plant.
Investors will look for updates on the transition to a redesigned RAV4 model and any changes to the company's full-year profit forecast.

Sources

T1
Toyota expected to post fifth straight profit drop, investors weigh Japan quake falloutReuters

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