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Royal Caribbean trims revenue forecast on geopolitical booking impact

Created at 28 Jul · 12:19 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Royal Caribbean cut its annual revenue growth forecast to about 9% from 10%, citing geopolitical tensions affecting bookings for select itineraries. However, the company raised its adjusted profit forecast due to strong second-quarter results and improved outlook, with onboard spending and cost controls offsetting higher fuel expenses.

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Key Numbers

9%Royal Caribbean's new annual revenue growth forecast
10%Previous annual revenue growth forecast
$17.73-$17.87Raised annual adjusted profit forecast per share
$17.10-$17.50Previous annual adjusted profit forecast per share
$4.83 billionSecond-quarter revenue
$4.82 billionAnalyst estimate for second-quarter revenue
$4.21Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter
$3.98Analyst estimate for adjusted earnings per share
27%Rise in quarterly fuel expenses
$355 millionQuarterly fuel expenses
$1.34 billionFull-year fuel expense forecast
$1.35 billionPrevious full-year fuel expense forecast

Who's Involved

Royal Caribbean
Cruise operator cutting revenue forecast
Naftali Holtz
Chief financial officer of Royal Caribbean
Royal Caribbean trims revenue forecast on geopolitical booking impact

↳ Why This Matters

The adjustment in Royal Caribbean's revenue forecast highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions on consumer booking behavior, while the raised profit outlook indicates the company's ability to manage costs and leverage onboard spending to maintain profitability.

Key facts

  • Royal Caribbean reduced its 2026 revenue growth forecast to approximately 9% from 10%.
  • The company increased its annual adjusted profit forecast to a range of $17.73 to $17.87 per share.
  • Second-quarter revenue increased 6% to $4.83 billion, surpassing analyst expectations.
  • Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $4.21, exceeding the $3.98 estimate.
  • Fuel expenses for the quarter rose 27% year-over-year to $355 million.

Royal Caribbean trimmed its annual revenue forecast on Tuesday, citing a modest booking impact for select itineraries due to prolonged geopolitical activity, even as overall demand for cruises remains resilient. The cruise operator now expects revenue to grow about 9% in 2026, down from its previous forecast of approximately 10% growth.

Despite the revenue outlook adjustment, the Miami, Florida-based company raised its annual adjusted profit forecast to between $17.73 and $17.87 per share, up from $17.10 to $17.50 previously. This increase was attributed to stronger-than-expected second-quarter results and an improved outlook for the remainder of the year.

Chief financial officer Naftali Holtz stated that consumer demand for vacation experiences is strong and guests are demonstrating a desire to spend on memorable experiences. He also noted that 2027 bookings are running ahead of historical levels, even for itineraries affected by geopolitical disruptions this year.

Cruise operators have been contending with higher fuel costs linked to Middle East tensions. Royal Caribbean reported a 27% rise in quarterly fuel expenses to $355 million compared to the previous year. However, the company's updated earnings forecast suggests that strong onboard spending and tight cost controls are helping to offset these pressures. The full-year fuel expense forecast was slightly reduced to about $1.34 billion from $1.35 billion.

For the quarter ended June 30, Royal Caribbean reported a 6% increase in revenue to $4.83 billion, surpassing analysts' estimates of $4.82 billion. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $4.21 per share, exceeding analysts' expectations of $3.98 per share.

Frequently asked questions

Royal Caribbean lowered its revenue forecast due to a modest booking impact for select itineraries primarily caused by prolonged geopolitical activity.

The company raised its annual adjusted profit forecast to $17.73 to $17.87 per share.

Royal Caribbean reported revenue of $4.83 billion, beating estimates of $4.82 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $4.21, exceeding the estimate of $3.98.

While quarterly fuel expenses rose, strong onboard spending and tight cost controls are helping to offset these pressures, and the full-year fuel expense forecast was slightly reduced.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future booking trends for itineraries affected by geopolitical events.
02Observe the impact of onboard spending and cost controls on future earnings.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Royal Caribbean lowered its annual revenue growth forecast to approximately 9% from 10%.
The company raised its annual adjusted profit forecast to $17.73-$17.87 per share.
Royal Caribbean reported a 6% rise in revenue to $4.83 billion for the quarter ended June 30.
The company earned $4.21 per share on an adjusted basis, beating estimates.
Quarterly fuel expenses rose 27% to $355 million, but the full-year forecast was reduced slightly.

Sources

T1
Royal Caribbean trims revenue forecast on booking hit from geopolitical tensionsReuters

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