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Taiwanese buyers dominate Tokyo real estate as mainland Chinese retreat

Created at 5 Jul · 9:05 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Taiwanese individuals are now the largest group of foreign buyers of new apartments in Tokyo, accounting for 62% of purchases in the first half of 2025. This trend is driven by soaring property prices in Taiwan, a weak yen, and geopolitical concerns, leading to a significant decrease in mainland Chinese buyers.

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Key Numbers

62%share of foreign apartment buyers in Tokyo's central 6 wards who are Taiwanese
3.5%share of new apartments in Tokyo's 23 wards purchased by overseas residents in H
1.6%share of new apartments in Tokyo's 23 wards purchased by overseas residents in 2
7.5%share of new apartments in Tokyo's central 6 wards purchased by overseas residen
14.6%share of new apartments in Shinjuku-ku purchased by overseas residents
192Taiwanese units bought in Tokyo's central 6 wards in H1 2025
30mainland Chinese units bought in Tokyo's central 6 wards in H1 2025
21Singaporean units bought in Tokyo's central 6 wards in H1 2025
156-157USD/JPY exchange rate in May 2026
40-50 billion yenoutstanding mortgage balances for Taiwanese-targeted home loans by CTBC's Tokyo
$255-320 millionoutstanding mortgage balances for Taiwanese-targeted home loans by CTBC's Tokyo
40-50%Taipei housing cost premium over Tokyo per usable square meter
30%year-on-year land price increase in Kumamoto towns due to TSMC
$17 billiontotal investment for TSMC's second Kumamoto fab
32%Taiwanese share of foreign buyers of new apartments in Tokyo's 23 wards in 2024
19%Chinese share of foreign buyers of new apartments in Tokyo's 23 wards in 2024
13%US residents share of foreign buyers of new apartments in Tokyo's 23 wards in 20
NT$3 millionannual household income for a Taiwanese couple considering emigration
15 million yenannual household income for a Taiwanese couple considering emigration
$95,000annual household income for a Taiwanese couple considering emigration
30 million yenprice of a secondhand apartment purchased by a Taiwanese couple near Nihonbashi,
20 square metersfloor space of a one-room studio apartment in Tokyo
60 square meterssize of a new apartment purchased by a Taiwanese couple in Hsinchu
130 million yenprice of a new apartment purchased by a Taiwanese couple in Hsinchu
165.6index of Taipei housing prices compared to Tokyo's Moto-Azabu district
100.0index of Tokyo's Moto-Azabu district housing prices

Who's Involved

Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism
released first-ever property data broken down by nationality
Chen Jia-wen
Chairman of CTBC Bank, noting Taiwanese investment focus on Japanese real estate
Sinyi Realty
Japan CEO, providing comparative housing cost data between Taipei and Tokyo
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company
expanding investment in its Kumamoto, Japan, fabs
Taiwanese buyers dominate Tokyo real estate as mainland Chinese retreat

↳ Why This Matters

The shift in foreign real estate investment in Tokyo highlights changing economic dynamics between Taiwan and Japan, driven by currency fluctuations, relative housing costs, and geopolitical tensions. It also signals a potential decline in mainland Chinese investment in Japanese property and a growing trend of Taiwanese seeking emigration and investment opportunities abroad.

Key facts

  • Taiwanese buyers constituted 62% of foreign purchasers of new apartments in Tokyo's central 6 wards in the first half of 2025.
  • This marks a significant shift from a decade ago when mainland Chinese buyers dominated the market.
  • A weak yen, higher property prices in Taipei, and geopolitical concerns in Taiwan are driving this trend.
  • TSMC's investment in Kumamoto has also spurred Taiwanese interest and relocation to Japan.
  • Taiwanese buyers are increasingly purchasing properties in Japan for investment, secondary residences, and emigration.

Taiwanese buyers are increasingly dominating Tokyo's real estate market, with 62% of foreign purchasers of new apartments in the city's central wards being Taiwanese in the first half of 2025. This surge contrasts sharply with the previous decade's narrative of mainland Chinese property investment and is driven by a confluence of economic and geopolitical factors.

Data released by Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism in November 2025 revealed that Taiwanese accounted for 192 of the 308 apartments bought by overseas residents in Tokyo's central 6 wards during the first half of 2025. This represents a significant shift, with mainland Chinese buyers purchasing only 30 units. In 2024, Taiwanese made up 32% of foreign buyers in Tokyo's 23 wards, surpassing Chinese buyers at 19% and US residents at 13%.

Several forces are converging to fuel this trend. A 38-year low for the yen, with USD/JPY trading around 156-157 in May 2026, has made Japanese real estate significantly more affordable for Taiwanese, whose currency is strong against the yen. Historically, a Tokyo parking spot cost as much as a Taipei apartment; that relationship has now reversed. CTBC Bank's Tokyo Star Bank subsidiary has seen its outstanding mortgage balances for Taiwanese buyers reach 40-50 billion yen ($255-320 million) within two years.

Furthermore, housing prices in Taipei now exceed those in central Tokyo when adjusted for standardized measurement methods, making Tokyo appear relatively cheaper. This has shifted buying motivations for wealthy Taiwanese from seeking overseas assets to escaping an overheated domestic market. The expansion of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) in Kumamoto, Japan, with its second fab upgrade to 3nm production and total investment reaching approximately $17 billion, has also created a physical bridge. Land prices in Kumamoto have risen over 30% year-on-year as Taiwanese supply chain personnel relocate, supported by eight Taiwanese banks operating in Tokyo that facilitate property transactions.

Geopolitical considerations also play a role, with some Taiwanese viewing property acquisition in Japan as a hedge against potential cross-strait military contingencies. A Taiwanese woman from Hsinchu, Taiwan's 'Silicon Valley,' cited fears of a military contingency and a desire for a better future for her children as motivations for emigrating and purchasing property in Japan. She noted that rising prices and loan burdens in Taiwan are pushing individuals to seek opportunities abroad. The couple, earning double the Taiwanese average household income, purchased a secondhand apartment in Okayama and a new apartment in Tokyo, planning to live in Japan and rent out properties.

Frequently asked questions

In the first half of 2025, Taiwanese accounted for 62% of foreign buyers of new apartments in Tokyo's central 6 wards. In 2024, they represented 32% of foreign buyers in Tokyo's 23 wards.

Key factors include a historically weak yen, higher housing prices in Taipei compared to Tokyo, and concerns about geopolitical stability in Taiwan. The expansion of TSMC in Japan also plays a role.

When adjusted for measurement methods, Taipei housing prices are approximately 40-50% more expensive per usable square meter than in Tokyo's Moto-Azabu district.

TSMC's significant investment in its Kumamoto, Japan, facilities has led to increased land prices and the relocation of Taiwanese supply chain personnel, creating a demand for housing and supporting infrastructure.

What Happens Next

01Japan's maglev trains are expected to begin service in the 2030s, potentially increasing property values near Shinagawa Station.
02TSMC's second Kumamoto fab is planned for 3nm production, further increasing investment and personnel relocation.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism released its first-ever property data broken down by nationality.
In Tokyo's 23 wards, overseas residents purchased 3.5% of new apartments in the first half of 2025, up from 1.6% in 2024.
Taiwanese buyers accounted for 62% of overseas purchases in Tokyo's central 6 wards in the first half of 2025.
Mainland Chinese buyers represented only 30 units, a significant drop from previous years.
The yen has reached a 38-year low against the US dollar, making Japanese real estate more affordable for Taiwanese.
Taipei housing prices now exceed Tokyo's on a per-square-meter basis.
TSMC's expansion in Kumamoto, Japan, has led to increased land prices and relocation of Taiwanese supply chain personnel.
Eight Taiwanese banks now have branches in Tokyo, offering mortgage and remittance services for property buyers.

Sources

T1
Taiwan's wealth flows into Japan real estate as mainland Chinese retreatNikkei Asia
T2
Taiwanese grow more confident in buying Japanese real estateasahi.com
T2
Taiwan Money in Japan: Why 62% of Foreign Tokyo Buyers Are Taiwanese ...kantenna.com

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