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Russia's services downturn deepens as new business falls at fastest pace since December 2022, PMI shows

Created at 3 Jul · 6:10 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Russia's services sector contracted further in June, with output and new orders falling at their fastest pace since September 2025 and December 2022, respectively, according to an S&P Global survey. Employment also saw its steepest decline in three-and-a-half years.

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Key Numbers

48.2Russia Services PMI Business Activity Index in June
48.7Russia Services PMI Business Activity Index in May
September 2025Fastest pace of output decline since
December 2022Fastest pace of new business contraction since
three-and-a-half yearsSteepest pace of job shedding in
December 2022Second-fastest rate of backlogs decline since
January 2021Slowest pace of selling price inflation since
three monthsFastest pace of private sector output contraction in

Who's Involved

S&P Global
Provider of the Russia Services PMI survey
Gleb Bryanski
Reporter
Toby Chopra
Editor
Russia's services downturn deepens as new business falls at fastest pace since December 2022, PMI shows

↳ Why This Matters

The deepening contraction in Russia's services sector, marked by falling output and new orders, signals weakening domestic demand and potential economic headwinds. The accelerated job shedding and reduced business confidence further underscore these challenges.

Key facts

  • Russia's services sector contracted in June, with the S&P Global Russia Services PMI Business Activity Index falling to 48.2.
  • Output declined at the fastest pace since September 2025, driven by subdued customer demand and a drop in new orders.
  • New business contracted at the fastest rate since December 2022, linked to reduced customer purchasing power.
  • Employment saw its steepest decline in three-and-a-half years as companies cut costs.
  • Input cost inflation eased for the fifth consecutive month, and selling price inflation slowed to its weakest since January 2021.
  • Business confidence remained near a three-and-a-half-year low.

Russia's services sector experienced a deepening downturn in June, as indicated by the S&P Global Russia Services PMI Business Activity Index, which fell to 48.2 from 48.7 in May. A reading above 50 signifies growth, while below 50 indicates contraction.

Output within the services sector declined for the fourth consecutive month, reaching its fastest rate of decrease since September 2025. This contraction was attributed by firms to subdued customer demand and a sustained drop in new orders. New business has now decreased for three months in a row, with the rate of contraction accelerating to its highest since December 2022. Companies linked these sales declines to reduced purchasing power among clients and their financial difficulties.

Employment in the sector also fell for the fifth consecutive month, marking the steepest pace of job shedding in three-and-a-half years, as companies focused on cost-cutting measures and did not replace voluntary leavers. Backlogs of work continued to decline at the second-fastest rate observed since December 2022.

Price pressures showed signs of easing. Input cost inflation slowed for the fifth month in a row, reaching its weakest point this year. Similarly, selling price inflation softened to its slowest pace since January 2021, with some firms resorting to discounts to stimulate sales.

Despite these challenges, businesses maintained a degree of optimism about future output over the coming year. However, this confidence level saw only a slight increase from May's near three-and-a-half-year low, remaining the second-weakest reading since December 2022.

Overall, the composite index, which combines services and manufacturing activity, also declined, indicating that private sector output contracted at its fastest pace in three months.

Frequently asked questions

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a key economic indicator. A reading above 50 signifies expansion in a sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Firms linked lower sales to reduced customer purchasing power and financial difficulties among clients.

Employment fell for the fifth consecutive month, with the pace of job shedding being the steepest in three-and-a-half years.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future PMI surveys for signs of recovery or continued contraction in Russia's services sector.
02Observe government responses to economic slowdown and potential stimulus measures.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Russia's services sector contracted in June.
Output fell for a fourth straight month.
New business decreased for a third consecutive month.
Employment fell for a fifth month.
Input cost inflation slowed to its weakest this year.
Selling price inflation softened to its slowest pace since January 2021.
Business confidence rose only slightly from a near three-and-a-half-year low.
The composite index also fell, with private sector output contracting at its fastest pace in three months.

Sources

T1
Russia's services downturn deepens as new business falls at fastest pace since December 2022, PMI showsReuters

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