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Poland manufacturing downturn eases, employment rises

Created at 3 Aug · 6:12 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Poland's manufacturing sector saw its downturn ease in July, with output and new orders declining at a slower pace. Employment increased for the first time in 15 months, while input cost inflation moderated.

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Key Numbers

49.0Poland Manufacturing PMI in July
46.1Poland Manufacturing PMI in June
15months since employment last rose
eightconsecutive months of falling export orders
fivemonth low for input cost inflation

Who's Involved

S&P Global
Provider of the Poland Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index
Trevor Balchin
Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence
Poland manufacturing downturn eases, employment rises

↳ Why This Matters

The data suggests a stabilization in Poland's manufacturing sector, with easing price pressures and a rare increase in employment offering positive signs amidst a broader downturn. This could indicate resilience in the Polish economy and potential for recovery.

Key facts

  • Poland's manufacturing PMI rose to 49.0 in July, indicating a less severe downturn.
  • Output and new orders saw slower declines in July.
  • Manufacturing employment increased for the first time in 15 months.
  • New export orders continued to fall, but at the slowest rate since January.
  • Input cost inflation eased to a five-month low.
  • Output price inflation slowed to its weakest rate since March.
  • Poland's manufacturing sector experienced a significant easing of its downturn in July, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to 49.0 from 46.1 in June, according to an S&P Global survey. While still indicating contraction, the pace of decline in output and new orders slowed considerably. Notably, employment rose for the first time in 15 months, signaling a potential shift in labor market conditions. New export orders continued to decline for the eighth consecutive month, though the rate of contraction was the slowest since January. Price pressures also eased, with input cost inflation slowing to a five-month low and output price inflation reaching its weakest rate since March. Firms expressed slightly improved, though still subdued, optimism about the year-ahead outlook, partly due to anticipated orders and EU support programs.

    Frequently asked questions

    The Poland Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a survey that tracks the health of the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

    The downturn eased due to slower declines in output and new orders, and an increase in employment. Price pressures also moderated.

    Firms grew slightly less downbeat about the year-ahead outlook, with expectations linked to anticipated orders and government support, though the Future Output Index remains below its long-run trend.

    What Happens Next

    01Monitor future PMI surveys for sustained employment growth and output recovery.
    02Observe trends in export orders and their impact on overall manufacturing activity.
    03Track the influence of EU support programs on business outlook and investment.

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    Cadence

    How It Developed

    Russia's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.7 in July, an 18-month high driven by domestic demand.
    Poland's manufacturing PMI increased to 49.0 in July from 46.1 in June.
    Poland's manufacturing output and new orders declined at a slower pace.
    Poland's manufacturing employment rose for the first time in 15 months.
    New export orders in Poland continued to fall but at a slower rate.
    Input cost inflation in Poland slowed to a five-month low.
    Output prices in Poland increased at the weakest rate since March.

    Sources

    T1
    Russia's manufacturing growth hits 18-month high, PMI showsReuters

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