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Indonesia's GDP growth accelerates, but uneven recovery persists

Created at 10 Aug · 12:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Indonesia's economy expanded by 5.11% in the first quarter, driven by household consumption and investment. However, analysts note that the recovery remains uneven, with certain sectors lagging and external demand weakening.

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Key Numbers

5.11%Q1 GDP growth
4.91%Household consumption growth
3.46%Investment growth
4.43%Export contraction
1.27%Import contraction
4.14%Manufacturing sector growth

Who's Involved

Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
reported the Q1 GDP figures
Bank Indonesia
forecasts a resilient but uneven economic recovery
Indonesia's GDP growth accelerates, but uneven recovery persists

↳ Why This Matters

The strong GDP growth indicates the resilience of Indonesia's domestic economy, but the uneven recovery highlights potential vulnerabilities to global economic conditions and the need for targeted support for lagging sectors.

Key facts

  • Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 5.11% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2024.
  • Household consumption increased by 4.91%, and investment rose by 3.46%.
  • Exports saw a contraction of 4.43%, while imports decreased by 1.27%.
  • The manufacturing sector experienced a slowdown, growing by only 4.14%.
  • Indonesia's economy demonstrated robust growth in the first quarter of 2024, expanding by 5.11% year-on-year. This expansion was primarily fueled by strong domestic demand, with household consumption increasing by 4.91% and investment growing by 3.46%.

    However, the external sector faced headwinds, as exports contracted by 4.43% amid weakening global demand. Imports also saw a slight decrease of 1.27%. The manufacturing sector, a key component of the Indonesian economy, experienced a slowdown, registering a growth of 4.14%.

    Despite the overall positive GDP figures, analysts from Bank Indonesia have cautioned that the economic recovery remains uneven. Certain sectors continue to lag, and the persistent weakness in global demand poses a challenge to export-oriented industries. The central bank anticipates that the economy will continue to grow, but the pace and breadth of this growth will be influenced by both domestic resilience and external factors.

    Frequently asked questions

    Indonesia's GDP grew by 5.11% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2024.

    The primary drivers were household consumption, which grew by 4.91%, and investment, which increased by 3.46%.

    The economy faced challenges from weakening global demand, which led to a contraction in exports by 4.43%.

    Analysts forecast a resilient but uneven economic recovery, with continued growth influenced by domestic factors and global demand.

    What Happens Next

    01Further analysis of sector-specific performance in Q1.
    02Monitoring of global demand trends and their impact on Indonesian exports.
    03Bank Indonesia's ongoing assessment of economic recovery trajectory.

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    Cadence

    How It Developed

    Indonesia's economy grew 5.11% year-on-year in Q1.
    Household consumption and investment were key drivers of growth.
    Exports declined due to weakening global demand.
    Analysts forecast continued but uneven economic recovery.

    Sources

    T1
    Indonesia’s strong GDP data prompts ‘resilient but uneven’ growth forecastsSouth China Morning Post

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