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Indonesia logs first trade deficit in six years as imports soar

Created at 1 Jul · 7:55 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Indonesia recorded its first trade deficit in six years in May, posting a USD 1.61 billion shortfall. This shift from a surplus was driven by soaring import values, largely due to higher oil prices and a weakening rupiah, while exports declined.

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Key Numbers

USD 1.61 billionMay 2026 trade deficit
USD 4.30 billionApril 2026 trade surplus
April 2020Last trade deficit
22.16%Year-on-year import growth
70.78%Year-on-year oil and gas import growth
14.89%Non-oil and gas import growth
5.73%Year-on-year export decline
31.76%Oil and gas export decline
USD 4.03 billionTrade surplus for first five months of 2026

Who's Involved

Statistics Indonesia
Reported the trade deficit figures for May 2026
Indonesia logs first trade deficit in six years as imports soar

↳ Why This Matters

The shift to a trade deficit signals potential economic pressure on Southeast Asia's largest economy, impacting its balance of payments and currency stability amidst rising energy import costs and declining commodity exports.

Key facts

  • Indonesia recorded a trade deficit of USD 1.61 billion in May 2026.
  • This is the first trade deficit since April 2020.
  • Imports increased by 22.16% year-on-year, driven by a 70.78% surge in oil and gas imports.
  • Exports decreased by 5.73% year-on-year.
  • Oil and gas exports fell by 31.76%.

Indonesia recorded its first trade deficit in six years in May 2026, with a shortfall of USD 1.61 billion, a significant shift from the USD 4.30 billion surplus seen in the same month of the previous year. This unexpected deficit occurred as imports surged by 22.16% year-on-year, driven by a substantial 70.78% increase in oil and gas imports, exacerbated by higher global oil prices linked to the Iran war and a weakening rupiah. Conversely, exports unexpectedly declined by 5.73% year-on-year, marking the steepest drop since November and reversing a strong performance in April. Oil and gas exports were particularly hard hit, plunging 31.76% due to sharp decreases in crude oil and natural gas exports. Non-oil and gas exports also fell by 4.50%, with notable declines to key trading partners like the US and India. Despite the May deficit, Indonesia maintained a trade surplus of USD 4.03 billion for the first five months of 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Indonesia recorded a trade deficit of USD 1.61 billion in May 2026.

The last trade deficit occurred in April 2020.

Imports soared due to higher oil prices triggered by the Iran war and the weakening rupiah.

Exports unexpectedly fell by 5.73% year-on-year, with oil and gas exports declining significantly.

What Happens Next

01Trading Economics forecasts a trade surplus of USD 1.8 billion by the end of the third quarter of 2026.
02Long-term projections suggest a trade surplus of USD 5.1 billion in 2027, followed by a deficit of USD 225.9 billion in 2028.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Indonesia recorded a trade deficit of USD 1.61 billion in May 2026.
This marks the first trade deficit since April 2020.
Imports surged 22.16% year-on-year, with oil and gas imports up 70.78%.
Exports unexpectedly fell 5.73% year-on-year, the steepest decline since November.
Oil and gas exports plunged 31.76%, with crude oil and natural gas exports seeing significant drops.
Non-oil and gas exports to the US and India declined.

Sources

T1
Indonesia logs first trade deficit in six years as imports soarNikkei Asia
T2
Indonesia's Trade Balance Stays Positive for 72 Months Despite Oil and ...indonesianpost.com
T2
Indonesia Balance of Trade - TRADING ECONOMICStradingeconomics.com
T2
Indonesia Current Account - TRADING ECONOMICStradingeconomics.com

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