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Huawei aims for 20% smartphone growth despite memory crunch

Created at 14 Jul · 7:36 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Huawei plans to increase smartphone production by over 20% this year, aiming for up to 60 million units despite a memory chip shortage. The company is recovering from U.S. export controls and is focusing on premium tiers to navigate rising component costs.

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Key Numbers

60 millionHuawei's planned smartphone production
50 millionHuawei's smartphone production last year
20%Huawei's target smartphone growth
0.2Huawei's lead over Apple in China shipments (percentage points)
2025Year Huawei topped China's smartphone market
2026Year industry contraction is expected
180 RMBEstimated cost of DRAM/NAND in late 2025
313 RMBEstimated cost of DRAM/NAND by mid-2026
750 RMBEstimated bill-of-materials for budget device by mid-2026
4.3Projected contraction of sub-$150 segment (percentage points)
5.4Projected expansion of $600+ tier (percentage points)

Who's Involved

Huawei
Chinese technology company aiming for smartphone growth
Apple
Competitor in China's smartphone market
Samsung
Memory chip manufacturer and smartphone competitor
Xiaomi
Chinese smartphone manufacturer facing cost pressures
OPPO
Chinese smartphone manufacturer facing cost pressures
Vivo
Chinese smartphone manufacturer that fell to third place in 2025
IDC
Market research firm providing industry projections
SK Hynix
Memory chip manufacturer prioritizing AI server demand
Micron
Memory chip manufacturer prioritizing AI server demand
Huawei aims for 20% smartphone growth despite memory crunch

↳ Why This Matters

The memory chip shortage and rising component costs are forcing a significant realignment in the smartphone market, potentially squeezing out lower-end devices and benefiting companies with strong supply chain control or premium market focus. Huawei's ambitious growth targets highlight its resilience and strategic positioning amidst these challenges.

Key facts

  • Huawei aims to increase smartphone shipments by over 20% this year.
  • The company plans to produce up to 60 million smartphones, up from less than 50 million last year.
  • Huawei reclaimed China's smartphone crown in 2025, surpassing Apple by 0.2 percentage points.
  • Memory chip prices have doubled due to AI data center demand, impacting the sub-$150 smartphone segment.
  • Relief from the memory chip shortage is not expected before late 2027.

Huawei Technologies aims to increase its smartphone shipments by over 20% this year, targeting up to 60 million units despite a significant memory chip crunch. The company is working to recover from years of U.S. export controls and has told suppliers of its production plans. This push comes as the global smartphone industry braces for a structural contraction in 2026, driven by memory chip inflation that is doubling component costs due to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) demand for AI servers.

Huawei reclaimed the top spot in China's smartphone market in 2025, narrowly beating Apple. However, this victory occurs within a broader market contraction, with overall shipments falling slightly in 2025. The escalating costs of DRAM and NAND memory are making it difficult for manufacturers to maintain profit margins, particularly in the sub-$150 segment. Industry projections indicate that relief from the supply crunch is unlikely before late 2027.

The rising component costs create a bifurcated market. Vertically integrated players like Apple, which benefits from procurement volume, and Samsung, which manufactures its own memory, are better positioned. Huawei's strategy of focusing on premium tiers also helps insulate its average selling prices. Companies like Xiaomi, OPPO, and Vivo, which lack these advantages, are reportedly facing significant challenges in maintaining profitability.

Frequently asked questions

Huawei aims to produce up to 60 million smartphones this year, an increase from less than 50 million last year.

Prices are increasing due to high demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for AI data centers, which is prioritized over commodity DRAM for consumer electronics.

The sub-$150 segment is most threatened, with projections indicating a contraction, while the $600+ tier is expected to expand.

Industry projections suggest that relief from the memory chip supply crunch will not arrive before late 2027.

What Happens Next

01Apple is expected to enter the foldable phone market in late 2026.
02Relief from the memory chip supply crunch is not anticipated before late 2027.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Huawei aims to increase smartphone shipments by over 20% this year.
The company plans to produce up to 60 million smartphones, up from less than 50 million last year.
Huawei reclaimed China's smartphone crown in 2025, surpassing Apple by 0.2 percentage points.
The smartphone industry is bracing for a structural contraction in 2026 due to memory chip inflation.
Storage component costs have doubled within six months due to AI data center demand.
Industry projections anticipate further increases in DRAM prices in early 2026.
Capacity expansion cycles mean relief from the memory chip shortage is not expected before late 2027.
A baseline 4GB DRAM plus 64GB NAND configuration cost will increase significantly by mid-2026.

Sources

T1
Huawei aims for 20% smartphone growth despite memory crunch: sourcesNikkei Asia
T2
Huawei, Apple Get Boost in China From Memory Costs, IDC Saysbloomberg.com
T2
Memory Chip Crisis and Huawei's Resurgence Reshape China's Smartphone ...chinabizinsider.com

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