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China's June factory activity returns to expansion at 50.3

Created at 30 Jun · 1:43 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

China's factory activity returned to expansion in June, with the official PMI rising to 50.3 from 50.0 in May. Non-manufacturing PMI also rose to 50.2, indicating a second consecutive month of expansion in services and construction.

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Key Numbers

50.3China manufacturing PMI in June
50.0China manufacturing PMI in May
50.2China non-manufacturing PMI in June
50.1China non-manufacturing PMI in May
50.6China composite PMI in June
50.5China composite PMI in May
48.0new orders index in June
45.8employment index in June
55.3business expectations index in June

Who's Involved

National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)
official survey provider for China's PMI data
Joe Cash
Reuters reporter
Jacqueline Wong
Reuters editor
China's June factory activity returns to expansion at 50.3

↳ Why This Matters

The return to expansion in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors suggests a stabilization in China's economy, driven partly by strong high-tech exports. However, subdued domestic demand and continued contraction in employment indicate underlying challenges.

Key facts

  • China's non-manufacturing PMI increased to 50.2 in June, marking a second consecutive month of expansion.
  • The official manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 in June, returning to expansion territory.
  • The composite PMI, combining manufacturing and non-manufacturing, rose to 50.6 in June.
  • New orders improved significantly, signaling stronger demand, though remaining in contraction.
  • Input and sales prices decreased, suggesting weaker pricing power.
  • Business expectations improved, indicating increased optimism.

China's factory activity returned to expansion in June, with the official purchasing managers' index (PMI) rising to 50.3 from 50.0 in May, according to a survey by the National Bureau of Statistics. This marks a second consecutive month of growth for manufacturing.

Concurrently, China's non-manufacturing PMI also increased to 50.2 in June from 50.1 in May, indicating continued expansion in the services and construction sectors. The composite PMI, which combines both manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity, rose to 50.6 from 50.5 in the prior month, suggesting a broader stabilization of economic activity.

The survey revealed a significant improvement in new orders, reaching 48.0, which signals stronger demand, although this index remains in contractionary territory. Input prices decreased to 49.7, and sales prices eased to 48.4, indicating potential weakening of pricing power for businesses and easing inflationary pressures. The employment index edged up to 45.8, still reflecting a contraction in the labor market. However, business expectations improved notably to 55.3, reflecting increased optimism among businesses for the future.

Specific sectors within non-manufacturing that showed strong performance included telecommunications, internet software and IT services, financial services, and insurance. Conversely, air transport and real estate sectors remained below the 50-point expansion threshold.

Frequently asked questions

A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in economic activity compared to the previous month, while a reading below 50 signifies contraction.

Telecommunications, internet software and IT services, financial services, and insurance sectors showed strong activity, all above 55.0.

The fall in input and sales prices suggests weaker pricing power for businesses and potentially easing inflationary pressures.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future PMI releases for sustained expansion.
02Observe trends in new orders and pricing power for further economic insights.

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Cadence

How It Developed

China's non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2 in June, indicating expansion.
China's factory activity returned to expansion in June, with the official PMI rising to 50.3.
The composite PMI for manufacturing and non-manufacturing rose to 50.6 in June.
New orders improved significantly, signaling stronger demand.
Input and sales prices saw a decrease.
Business expectations improved in June.

Sources

T1
China's June non-manufacturing PMI rises to 50.2Reuters
T2
PDF China - Details of June PMIs point to underlying weaknesscommerzbank.de
T2
China Non Manufacturing PMI - TRADING ECONOMICStradingeconomics.com

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