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China factory growth slows to 4-month low in July, survey shows

Created at 3 Aug · 1:56 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

China's manufacturing sector expanded at its slowest pace in four months in July, with output and new orders rising more slowly, according to a private-sector survey. Export orders, however, returned to growth after a contraction.

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Key Numbers

50.9China General Manufacturing PMI in July
51.7China General Manufacturing PMI in June
4.3%China's Q2 economic growth
4.5% to 5.0%China's full-year economic growth target
August 2023fastest pace of job creation

Who's Involved

Liangping Gao
Reuters reporter
Ryan Woo
Reuters reporter
S&P Global
compiled the RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI
China factory growth slows to 4-month low in July, survey shows

↳ Why This Matters

The slowdown in China's manufacturing sector, indicated by the PMI, suggests persistent weakness in the world's second-largest economy, potentially impacting global supply chains and demand for commodities.

Key facts

  • China's manufacturing sector expanded at its slowest pace in four months in July.
  • The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.9 in July from 51.7 in June.
  • Growth in new orders slowed to its weakest pace since January.
  • New export orders returned to growth after contracting in May and June.
  • Input price inflation slowed to a six-month low.

China's manufacturing sector expanded at its slowest pace in four months in July, as output and new orders rose more slowly, according to a private-sector survey by S&P Global. The RatingDog China General Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 50.9 in July from 51.7 in June, missing analysts' forecasts. This follows an official survey that showed factory activity unexpectedly slipped into contraction in July, reinforcing concerns over slowing growth and weak domestic demand.

Growth in new orders slowed to its weakest pace since January, though new export orders returned to growth after contracting in previous months. Manufacturers added staff for the second consecutive month at the fastest pace since August 2023. Input price inflation eased to a six-month low, while output prices remained broadly flat. Firms expressed optimism about future output over the next 12 months.

China's leaders have pledged to support the slowing economy by accelerating fiscal spending on infrastructure projects, rather than implementing major new stimulus measures. The country's second-quarter economic growth was 4.3%, the slowest in over three years and below the lower end of the full-year target.

Frequently asked questions

The 50-mark separates growth from contraction in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 signifies contraction.

The return of export orders to growth, even if marginal, suggests a slight improvement in external demand for Chinese manufactured goods after a period of contraction.

Official data showed second-quarter economic growth at its slowest in more than three years, missing the lower end of the full-year target. Leaders plan to accelerate fiscal spending to support the economy.

What Happens Next

01China's leaders will continue to accelerate fiscal spending on infrastructure.

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Cadence

How It Developed

China's manufacturing sector expanded at its slowest pace in four months in July.
The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.9 in July from 51.7 in June.
Growth in new orders slowed to its weakest pace since January.
New export orders returned to growth after contracting in May and June.
Manufacturers added staff for the second consecutive month.
Input price inflation slowed to a six-month low.
Firms remained optimistic about output over the next 12 months.

Sources

T1
China factory growth slows to 4-month low in July, survey showsReuters

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