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Samsung: AI chip shortage to worsen through 2027, last until 2028

Created at 31 Jul · 4:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Samsung anticipates a worsening AI chip shortage, with tight supply conditions expected to persist through 2027 and last until at least 2028. The company is prioritizing customers willing to sign long-term contracts to secure future supply amidst surging demand from AI labs.

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Key Numbers

Q2Samsung's semiconductor unit sales hit all-time high
9% to 11%Apple's projected revenue growth for upcoming quarter
16%Apple's recent quarterly growth rate
20% to 30%Nvidia's expected consumer graphics card price increase

Who's Involved

Samsung
Manufacturer of roughly a third of the world's memory chips
AI labs
Driving demand for memory infrastructure
Apple
Archrival to Samsung, also raising prices due to chip shortage
Nvidia
Expected to increase consumer graphics card prices

↳ Why This Matters

The prolonged and intensifying shortage of AI chips will continue to drive up costs for both consumer electronics and AI infrastructure, impacting device affordability and the pace of AI development. This situation benefits chip manufacturers like Samsung but poses challenges for companies reliant on these components and for end consumers.

Key facts

  • Samsung forecasts the current RAM chip shortage to worsen through 2027 and continue until at least 2028.
  • Demand from AI labs is driving the shortage, with companies sharing long-term forecasts to secure supply.
  • Samsung's semiconductor unit achieved record sales in Q2 due to increased chip prices.
  • Higher component costs have impacted profitability in Samsung's smartphone and TV divisions.
  • Apple has also raised prices on its Mac products due to the chip shortage.

Samsung anticipates that the current shortage of RAM chips will not only continue into next year but is likely to intensify by 2027, with tight supply conditions persisting until at least 2028. The company, which supplies approximately one-third of the global memory chip market, stated in its second-quarter earnings call that leading AI laboratories are directly sharing their medium- to long-term demand forecasts to secure future supply.

This high demand allows Samsung to prioritize customers willing to commit to long-term contracts. Such multi-year visibility will enable the company to invest in equipment and expand production capacity, aiming to mitigate the historical boom-and-bust cycles characteristic of the memory industry. The AI-driven memory shortage has also led to increased chip prices in recent months.

While Samsung's semiconductor division reported record sales in Q2, the higher chip costs negatively impacted profitability in its smartphone and TV divisions. Consequently, Samsung has passed some of these increased component costs onto consumers through higher prices for its Galaxy smartphones and tablets, which has led to a reduction in demand for these devices. Apple, a key competitor, has also increased prices for its Macbooks, Macs, and iPads, and has warned of slower revenue growth in the upcoming quarter.

With memory manufacturers redirecting production capacity towards AI data centers away from consumer electronics, consumers are facing higher prices for devices. Nvidia is also expected to raise prices for its consumer graphics cards, potentially further increasing the cost of gaming devices, computers, and laptops.

Frequently asked questions

Samsung forecasts that tight supply conditions will last until at least 2028.

The shortage is driven by high demand from AI labs seeking memory infrastructure, leading manufacturers to prioritize these customers.

Consumers are facing higher prices for devices like smartphones, tablets, and computers, as well as increased costs for graphics cards.

Samsung is prioritizing customers willing to sign long-term contracts and is investing in expanding production capacity.

What Happens Next

01Samsung to continue prioritizing long-term contract customers.
02Nvidia to potentially raise consumer graphics card prices.
03Apple to report on its upcoming quarter's revenue growth.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Samsung expects the RAM chip shortage to persist into next year.
The shortage is projected to intensify in 2027.
Tight supply conditions are expected to last until at least 2028.
Frontier AI labs are sharing long-term demand forecasts with Samsung to secure future supply.
Samsung is prioritizing customers signing long-term contracts.
Memory shortages have driven up chip prices.
Samsung's semiconductor unit sales hit an all-time high in Q2.
Profitability in Samsung's smartphone and TV divisions shrank due to higher component costs.

Sources

T1
Samsung expects memory shortage to worsen through 2027 and last until 2028TechCrunch

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